Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30173149›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of rheumatology2018

Flares in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients with Low Disease Activity: Predictability and Association with Worse Clinical Outcomes.

Katie Bechman, Lieke Tweehuysen, Toby Garrood, David L Scott, Andrew P Cope, James B Galloway, Margaret H Y Ma

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of rheumatology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. UK Medical Cannabis Registry: An Updated Analysis of Inflammatory Arthritis.Clinical medicine insights. Arthritis and musculoskeletal disorders · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Katie BechmanFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands. katie.bechman@kcl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-7552-0463
Lieke TweehuysenFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Toby GarroodFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
David L ScottFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Andrew P CopeFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6735-5496
James B GallowayFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1230-2781
Margaret H Y MaFrom the Academic Department of Rheumatology, Kings College London, London; Department of Rheumatology, Guy's and St Thomas' UK National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Sint Maartenskliniek · NLNational Health Service · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council G1001516Medical Research Council MR/R001332/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate predictors of flare in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients with low disease activity (LDA) and to evaluate the effect of flare on 12-month clinical outcomes.

methodsPatients with RA who were taking disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs and had a stable 28-joint count Disease Activity Score (DAS28) < 3.2 were eligible for inclusion. At baseline and every 3 months, clinical (DAS28), functional [Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI), EQ-5D, Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy Fatigue scale (FACIT-F), Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36 (SF-36)], serum biomarkers [multibiomarker disease activity (MBDA) score, calprotectin, CXCL10], and imaging data were collected. Flare was defined as an increase in DAS28 compared with baseline of > 1.2, or > 0.6 if concurrent DAS28 ≥ 3.2. Cox regression analyses were used to identify baseline predictors of flare. Biomarkers were cross-sectionally correlated at time of flare. Linear regressions were performed to compare clinical outcomes after 1 year.

resultsOf 152 patients, 46 (30%) experienced a flare. Functional disability at baseline was associated with flare: HAQ-DI had an unadjusted HR 1.82 (95% CI 1.20-2.72) and EQ-5D had HR 0.20 (95% CI 0.07-0.57). In multivariate analyses, only HAQ-DI remained a significant independent predictor of flare (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.05-2.93). At time of flare, DAS28 and its components significantly correlated with MBDA and calprotectin, but correlation coefficients were low at 0.52 and 0.49, respectively. Two-thirds of flares were not associated with a rise in biomarkers. Patients who flared had significantly worse outcomes at 12 months (HAQ-DI, EQ-5D, FACIT-F, SF-36, and radiographic progression).

conclusionFlares occur frequently in RA patients with LDA and are associated with worse disease activity, quality of life, and radiographic progression. Higher baseline HAQ-DI was modestly predictive of flare, while biomarker correlation at the time of flare suggests a noninflammatory component in a majority of events.

Indexed as

Quality of LifeAdultAgedAntirheumatic AgentsArthritis, RheumatoidDisability EvaluationDisease ProgressionFemaleFoot JointsHand JointsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRadiographySeverity of Illness IndexAntirheumatic AgentsFLARELOW DISEASE ACTIVITYMULTIBIOMARKER DISEASE ACTIVITY SCOREQUALITY OF LIFERHEUMATOID ARTHRITISSERUM BIOMARKERS

Identifiers

PMID30173149
PMCPMC6217929
OpenAlexW2889130652

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.