Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30169883›Full record

ArticleSchizophrenia bulletin2018

The Complexities of Evaluating the Exposome in Psychiatry: A Data-Driven Illustration of Challenges and Some Propositions for Amendments.

Sinan Guloksuz, Bart P F Rutten, Lotta-Katrin Pries, Margreet Ten Have, Ron de Graaf, Saskia van Dorsselaer, Boris Klingenberg, Jim van Os, John P A Ioannidis, European Network of National Schizophrenia Networks Studying Gene-Environment Interactions Work Package 6 (EU-GEI WP6) Group

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Schizophrenia bulletin, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Sex differences in the effect of childhood adversity and coping strategies on psychosis expression: A TwinssCan study.European psychiatry : the journal of the Association of European Psychiatrists · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Stress, Environment and Early Psychosis.Current neuropharmacology · 2024
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Exposome and Trans-syndromal Developmental Trajectories Toward Psychosis.Biological psychiatry global open science · 2022
    Review
  20. Association Between Discrimination Stress and Suicidality in Preadolescent Children.Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Sinan GuloksuzDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Bart P F RuttenDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Lotta-Katrin PriesDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Margreet Ten HaveDepartment of Epidemiology, Netherlands Institute of Mental Health and Addiction; Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Ron de GraafDepartment of Epidemiology, Netherlands Institute of Mental Health and Addiction; Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Saskia van DorsselaerDepartment of Epidemiology, Netherlands Institute of Mental Health and Addiction; Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Boris KlingenbergDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Jim van OsDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
John P A IoannidisStanford Prevention Research Center, Department of Medicine, Department of Health Research and Policy and Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.
European Network of National Schizophrenia Networks Studying Gene-Environment Interactions Work Package 6 (EU-GEI WP6) Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Identifying modifiable factors through environmental research may improve mental health outcomes. However, several challenges need to be addressed to optimize the chances of success. By analyzing the Netherlands Mental Health Survey and Incidence Study-2 data, we provide a data-driven illustration of how closely connected the exposures and the mental health outcomes are and how model and variable specifications produce "vibration of effects" (variation of results under multiple different model specifications). Interdependence of exposures is the rule rather than the exception. Therefore, exposure-wide systematic approaches are needed to separate genuine strong signals from selective reporting and dissect sources of heterogeneity. Pre-registration of protocols and analytical plans is still uncommon in environmental research. Different studies often present very different models, including different variables, despite examining the same outcome, even if consistent sets of variables and definitions are available. For datasets that are already collected (and often already analyzed), the exploratory nature of the work should be disclosed. Exploratory analysis should be separated from prospective confirmatory research with truly pre-specified analysis plans. In the era of big-data, where very low P values for trivial effects are detected, several safeguards may be considered to improve inferences, eg, lowering P-value thresholds, prioritizing effect sizes over significance, analyzing pre-specified falsification endpoints, and embracing alternative approaches like false discovery rates and Bayesian methods. Any claims for causality should be cautious and preferably avoided, until intervention effects have been validated. We hope the propositions for amendments presented here may help with meeting these pressing challenges.

Indexed as

Data Interpretation, StatisticalBiomedical ResearchClinical ProtocolsHealth SurveysHumansMental DisordersNetherlandsPsychiatry

Identifiers

PMID30169883
PMCPMC6192470

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.