Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30157981›Full record

ArticleInfection control and hospital epidemiology2018

The projected burden of complex surgical site infections following hip and knee arthroplasties in adults in the United States, 2020 through 2030.

Hannah M Wolford, Kelly M Hatfield, Prabasaj Paul, Sarah H Yi, Rachel B Slayton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Poor preoperative oral status is associated with early wound infection after joint replacement surgery.European journal of orthopaedic surgery & traumatology : orthopedie traumatologie · 2025
    Observational
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  12. Phage Therapy for Limb-threatening Prosthetic Knee Klebsiella pneumoniae Infection: Case Report and In Vitro Characterization of Anti-biofilm Activity.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Hannah M WolfordDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion,Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.ORCID 0000-0003-0645-4399
Kelly M HatfieldDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion,Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.ORCID 0000-0003-3757-8853
Prabasaj PaulDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion,Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
Sarah H YiDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion,Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
Rachel B SlaytonDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion,Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · US

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs the US population ages, the number of hip and knee arthroplasties is expected to increase. Because surgical site infections (SSIs) following these procedures contribute substantial morbidity, mortality, and costs, we projected SSIs expected to occur from 2020 through 2030.

methodsWe used a stochastic Poisson process to project the number of primary and revision arthroplasties and SSIs. Primary arthroplasty rates were calculated using annual estimates of hip and knee arthroplasty stratified by age and gender from the 2012-2014 Nationwide Inpatient Sample and standardized by census population data. Revision rates, dependent on time from primary procedure, were obtained from published literature and were uniformly applied for all ages and genders. Stratified complex SSI rates for arthroplasties were obtained from 2012-2015 National Healthcare Safety Network data. To evaluate the possible impact of prevention measures, we recalculated the projections with an SSI rate reduced by 30%, the national target established by the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).

resultsWithout a reduction in SSI rates, we projected an increase in complex SSIs following hip and knee arthroplasty of 14% between 2020 and 2030. We projected a total burden of 77,653 SSIs; however, meeting the 30% rate reduction could prevent 23,297 of these SSIs.

conclusionsGiven current SSI rates, we project that complex SSI burden for primary and revision arthroplasty may increase due to an aging population. Reducing the SSI rate to the national HHS target could prevent 23,000 SSIs and reduce subsequent morbidity, mortality, and Medicare costs.

Indexed as

ForecastingAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overArthroplasty, Replacement, HipArthroplasty, Replacement, KneeCensusesFemaleHumansMaleMedicareMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsSurgical Wound InfectionUnited States

Identifiers

PMID30157981
PMCPMC6520991
OpenAlexW2889084124

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.