Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30157753›Full record

Observational studyBMC cardiovascular disorders2018

Coronary calcium score improves the estimation for pretest probability of obstructive coronary artery disease and avoids unnecessary testing in individuals at low extreme of traditional risk factor burden: validation and comparison of CONFIRM score and genders extended model.

Minghui Wang, Yujie Liu, Xiujun Zhou, Jia Zhou, Hong Zhang, Ying Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative StudyObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Minghui WangDepartment of Cardiology, Tianjin Chest Hospital, 261 Taierzhuangnan Road, Tianjin, 300000, China.
Yujie LiuDepartment of Cardiology, Tianjin Chest Hospital, 261 Taierzhuangnan Road, Tianjin, 300000, China.
Xiujun ZhouDepartment of Cardiology, Tianjin Chest Hospital, 261 Taierzhuangnan Road, Tianjin, 300000, China.
Jia ZhouDepartment of Cardiology, Tianjin Chest Hospital, 261 Taierzhuangnan Road, Tianjin, 300000, China.
Hong ZhangDepartment of Radiology, Tianjin Chest Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Ying ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, Tianjin Chest Hospital, 261 Taierzhuangnan Road, Tianjin, 300000, China. zhangyingwenzhang@126.com.ORCID 0000-0003-3027-7396
Tianjin Chest Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReliability of models for estimating pretest probability (PTP) of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) has not been investigated in individuals at low extreme of traditional risk factor (RF) burden. Thus, we sought to validate and compare CONFIRM score and Genders extended model (GEM) among these individuals.

methodsWe identified symptomatic individuals with 0 or 1 RF who underwent coronary calcium scan and coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA). Follow-up clinical data were also recorded. PTP of obstructive CAD for every individual was estimated according to CONFIRM score and GEM, respectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test were used to assess the performance of models.

resultsThere were 1201 individuals with 0 RF and 2415 with 1 RF. The AUC for GEM was significantly larger than that for CONFIRM score, no matter in individuals with 0 (0.843 v.s. 0.762, p < 0.0001) or 1 (0.823 v.s. 0.752, p < 0.0001) RF. Compared to CONFIRM score, GEM demonstrated positive IDI (5% in individuals with 0 RF and 8% in individuals with 1 RF), positive NRI (41.50% in individuals with 0 RF and 40.19% in individuals with 1 RF), better prediction of clinical events and less discrepancy between observed and predicted probabilities, resulting in a significant decrease of unnecessary testing, especially in negative individuals.

conclusionIn individuals at low extreme of traditional RF burden of CAD, the addition of coronary calcium score provided a more accurate estimation for PTP and application of GEM instead of CONFIRM score could avoid unnecessary testing.

Indexed as

Unnecessary ProceduresAgedComputed Tomography AngiographyCoronary AngiographyCoronary Artery DiseaseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSex FactorsCoronary calcium scoreCoronary computed tomographic angiographyLow extreme of risk factorPretest probability of obstructive coronary artery diseaseUnnecessary testing

Identifiers

PMID30157753
PMCPMC6114886
OpenAlexW2889402234

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.