Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30155979›Full record

Trial reportAnnals of neurology2018

Evaluation of no evidence of progression or active disease (NEPAD) in patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis in the ORATORIO trial.

Jerry S Wolinsky, Xavier Montalban, Stephen L Hauser, Gavin Giovannoni, Patrick Vermersch, Corrado Bernasconi, Gurpreet Deol-Bhullar, Hideki Garren, Peter Chin, Shibeshih Belachew and 1 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Annals of neurology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01194570 (A Phase III, Multicentre, Randomized, Parallel-group, Double-blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Ocrelizumab in Adults With Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis), which is not on this map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01194570 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase III, Multicentre, Randomized, Parallel-group, Double-blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Ocrelizumab in Adults With Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

TypeinterventionalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2011 to 2022Enrolled735ConditionsMultiple Sclerosis, Primary ProgressiveArmsOcrelizumab, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Ocrelizumab for multiple sclerosis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. AI-assisted identification of disability patterns within identical EDSS grades.Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England) · 2025
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Does Ocrelizumab Limit Multiple Sclerosis Progression? Current Evidence from Clinical, MRI, and Fluid Biomarkers.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2022
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Deciphering Multiple Sclerosis Progression.Frontiers in neurology · 2021
    Review
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Jerry S WolinskyMcGovern Medical School, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (UTHealth), Houston, TX.
Xavier MontalbanDivision of Neurology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Stephen L HauserUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.
Gavin GiovannoniQueen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom.
Patrick VermerschUniversity of Lille, CHU Lille, LIRIC-INSERM U995, Lille, France.
Corrado BernasconiF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Gurpreet Deol-BhullarF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Hideki GarrenGenentech, Inc., South San Francisco, CA.
Peter ChinGenentech, Inc., South San Francisco, CA.
Shibeshih BelachewF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Ludwig KapposUniversity Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Roche (Switzerland) · CHLille Inflammation Research International Center · FRQueen Mary University of London · GBThe University of Texas Health Science Center · USUniversity Hospital of Basel · CHUniversity of California, San Francisco · USVall d'Hebron Hospital Universitari · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveNo evidence of progression or active disease (NEPAD) is a novel combined endpoint defined by the absence of both progression and inflammatory disease activity in primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS). In the placebo-controlled phase III ORATORIO study (NCT01194570), we investigated the effect of ocrelizumab on this comprehensive outcome and its components in a post-hoc analysis.

methodsThe proportion of patients with NEPAD (no evidence of progression [NEP; no 12-week confirmed progression of ≥1/≥0.5 points on the Expanded Disability Status Scale if the baseline score was ≤5.5/>5.5 points, respectively; no 12-week confirmed progression of ≥20% on the Timed 25-Foot Walk test and 9-Hole Peg Test], no brain magnetic resonance imaging activity [no new/enlarging T2 lesions and no T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesions], and no protocol-defined relapse) from baseline to week 120 was determined in ocrelizumab- (600 mg; n = 465) and placebo-treated (n = 234) patients.

resultsThe majority of ORATORIO study patients with PPMS experienced clinical progression or evidence of disease activity. From baseline to week 120, 29.9% and 42.7% ocrelizumab-treated compared to 9.4% and 29.1% placebo-treated patients maintained NEPAD (relative risk [95% confidence interval {CI}], 3.15 [2.07-4.79]; p < 0.001) and NEP (relative risk [95% CI], 1.47 [1.17-1.84]; p < 0.001), respectively. Effects on the individual components of both measures were consistent with the compound outcomes.

interpretationCompared to placebo, ocrelizumab enhanced 3-fold the proportion of PPMS patients with no evidence of either progression or inflammatory disease activity. NEPAD may represent a sensitive and meaningful comprehensive measure of disease control in patients with PPMS. Ann Neurol 2018;84:527-536.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionAdolescentAdultAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedDouble-Blind MethodEvidence-Based MedicineFemaleHumansImmunologic FactorsMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Sclerosis, Chronic ProgressiveYoung AdultAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedImmunologic Factorsocrelizumab

Identifiers

PMID30155979
PMCPMC6220799
OpenAlexW2889214655

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.