Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30155885›Full record

Observational studyThe British journal of dermatology2019

Identifying demographic, social and clinical predictors of biologic therapy effectiveness in psoriasis: a multicentre longitudinal cohort study.

R B Warren, A Marsden, B Tomenson, K J Mason, M M Soliman, A D Burden, N J Reynolds, D Stocken, R Emsley, C E M Griffiths and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The British journal of dermatology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Impact of smoking on psoriasis risk and treatment efficacy: a meta-analysis.The Journal of international medical research · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

R B WarrenDermatology Centre, Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust, The University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, Manchester, U.K.
A MarsdenCentre for Biostatistics, School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, U.K.ORCID 0000-0003-3955-2649
B TomensonCentre for Biostatistics, School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, U.K.
K J MasonDivision of Musculoskeletal and Dermatological Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, U.K.ORCID 0000-0002-5419-0669
M M SolimanDepartment of Pharmacy Practice, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
A D BurdenDepartment of Dermatology, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, U.K.
N J ReynoldsDermatological Sciences, Institute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre and Department of Dermatology, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, U.K.
D StockenClinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, U.K.
R EmsleyInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, U.K.
C E M GriffithsDermatology Centre, Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust, The University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, Manchester, U.K.
C SmithSt John's Institute of Dermatology, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, U.K.
PSORT Consortium and on behalf of the BADBIR Study Group

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/L011808/1Medical Research Council MR/N005872/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBiologic therapies have revolutionized the treatment of moderate-to-severe psoriasis. However, for reasons largely unknown, many patients do not respond or lose response to these drugs.

objectivesTo evaluate demographic, social and clinical factors that could be used to predict effectiveness and stratify response to biologic therapies in psoriasis.

methodsUsing a multicentre, observational, prospective pharmacovigilance study (BADBIR), we identified biologic-naive patients starting biologics with outcome data at 6 (n = 3079) and 12 (n = 3110) months. Associations between 31 putative predictors and outcomes were investigated in univariate and multivariable regression analyses. Potential stratifiers of treatment response were investigated with statistical interactions.

resultsEight factors associated with reduced odds of achieving ≥ 90% improvement in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 90) at 6 months were identified (described as odds ratio and 95% confidence interval): demographic (female sex, 0·78, 0·66-0·93); social (unemployment, 0·67, 0·45-0·99); unemployment due to ill health (0·62, 0·48-0·82); ex- and current smoking (0·81, 0·66-0·99 and 0·79, 0·63-0·99, respectively); clinical factors (high weight, 0·99, 0·99-0·99); psoriasis of the palms and/or soles (0·75, 0·61-0·91); and presence of small plaques only compared with small and large plaques (0·78, 0·62-0·96). White ethnicity (1·48, 1·12-1·97) and higher baseline PASI (1·04, 1·03-1·04) were associated with increased odds of achieving PASI 90. The findings were largely consistent at 12 months. There was little evidence for predictors of differential treatment response.

conclusionsPsoriasis phenotype and potentially modifiable factors are associated with poor outcomes with biologics, underscoring the need for lifestyle management. Effect sizes suggest that these factors alone cannot inform treatment selection.

Indexed as

AdalimumabAdultBiological ProductsEtanerceptEthnicityFemaleHumansImmunosuppressive AgentsLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPatient SelectionPrognosisProspective StudiesPsoriasisRisk FactorsAdalimumabBiological ProductsEtanerceptImmunosuppressive AgentsUstekinumab

Identifiers

PMID30155885
PMCPMC6519065

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.