ArticleScientific reports2018
Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China.
Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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8 citing papers in PubMed, 78 citations in OpenAlex.
- Multi-scenario simulation of land use change and its effects on ecosystem service value: a case study of the three provinces in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, China.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Study on the spatial and temporal evolution of ecosystem service value based on land use change in Xi'an City.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Evaluation and optimization of ecological spatial resilience of Yanhe River Basin based on complex network theory.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Multi-Scenario Simulation of Green Space Landscape Pattern in Harbin City Based on FLUS Model.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- How Does Topography Affect the Value of Ecosystem Services? An Empirical Study from the Qihe Watershed.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Assessing the impact of land use land cover change on regulatory ecosystem services of subtropical scrub forest, Soan Valley Pakistan.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Multi-Scenario Simulation and Trade-Off Analysis of Ecological Service Value in the Manas River Basin Based on Land Use Optimization in China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Assessment of Spatio-Temporal Variation and Driving Mechanism of Ecological Environment Quality in the Arid Regions of Central Asia, Xinjiang.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Scenario analysis of ecosystem services (ES) can provide a scientific basis for ecosystem management. The objective of this study was to reveal the effects of future land use scenarios on ES in a mountain-oasis-desert system (MODS). We first simulated land use changes for the period of 2015-2035 in Altay Prefecture under three different scenarios: business as usual (BAU), economic development (ED), and ecological conservation (EC). We then evaluated water yield (WY), crop production (CP), soil conservation (SC), sand fixation (SF), carbon sequestration (CS), and aesthetic value (AV) and investigated the multiple interactions among ES at the regional and grid scales. The results showed that SC, CS, and AV continually increased, WY continually decreased under the three scenarios. Our study revealed that the multiple interactions among ES were spatially heterogeneous in the MODS and the spatial heterogeneities changed across scenarios. The locations of and causes for the formation of the multiple interactions among ES were identified based on spatial analysis. This information can help decision-makers develop targeted and differentiated ecosystem management strategies. This study can increase the understanding of the multiple interactions among ES. Our findings can provide a reference for studies of other regions with the MODS structure.
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