Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30152293›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2018

Excess mortality in Guadeloupe and Martinique, islands of the French West Indies, during the chikungunya epidemic of 2014.

A R R Freitas, P M Alarcón-Elbal, M R Donalisio

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Events preceding death among chikungunya virus infected patients: a systematic review.Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical · 2020
    Pooled it
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  8. Dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus infections in Latin America and the Caribbean: a systematic review.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
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  12. Rediscovering the chikungunya virusBiomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud · 2021
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

A R R FreitasFaculdade de Medicina São Leopoldo Mandic,Campinas, Sao Paulo,Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-0291-7771
P M Alarcón-ElbalUniversidad Iberoamericana, Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global,Santo Domingo,Dominican Republic.
M R DonalisioState University of Campinas,Faculty of Medical Sciences, Public Health,Campinas, São Paulo,Brazil.
Faculdade São Leopoldo Mandic · BRUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) · BRUniversidad Iberoamericana · DO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In some chikungunya epidemics, deaths are not completely captured by traditional surveillance systems, which record case and death reports. We evaluated excess deaths associated with the 2014 chikungunya virus (CHIKV) epidemic in Guadeloupe and Martinique, Antilles. Population (784 097 inhabitants) and mortality data, estimated by sex and age, were accessed from the Institut National de la Statistique et des Études Économiques in France. Epidemiological data, cases, hospitalisations and deaths on CHIKV were obtained from the official epidemiological reports of the Cellule de Institut de Veille Sanitaire in France. Excess deaths were calculated as the difference between the expected and observed deaths for all age groups for each month in 2014 and 2015, considering the upper limit of 99% confidence interval. The Pearson correlation coefficient showed a strong correlation between monthly excess deaths and reported cases of chikungunya (R = 0.81, p < 0.005) and with a 1-month lag (R = 0.87, p < 0.001); and a strong correlation was also observed between monthly rates of hospitalisation for CHIKV and excess deaths with a delay of 1 month (R = 0.87, p < 0.0005). The peak of the epidemic occurred in the month with the highest mortality, returning to normal soon after the end of the CHIKV epidemic. There were excess deaths in almost all age groups, and excess mortality rate was higher among the elderly but was similar between male and female individuals. The overall mortality estimated in the current study (639 deaths) was about four times greater than that obtained through death declarations (160 deaths). Although the aetiological diagnosis of all deaths associated with CHIKV infection is not always possible, already well-known statistical tools can contribute to the evaluation of the impact of CHIKV on mortality and morbidity in the different age groups.

Indexed as

EpidemicsMortalityAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionChikungunya FeverChildChild, PreschoolFemaleGuadeloupeHospitalizationHumansInfantInfant, NewbornArboviruseschikungunya virusmodellingmortalityvectors

Identifiers

PMID30152293
PMCPMC6453005
OpenAlexW2951947208

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.