Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30139900›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2018

Risk of cardiac and non-cardiac adverse events in community-dwelling older patients with atrial fibrillation: a prospective cohort study in the Netherlands.

Sander van Doorn, Annerien Tavenier, Frans H Rutten, Arno W Hoes, Karel G M Moons, Geert-Jan Geersing

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Hospital healthcare utilisation in patients with atrial fibrillation: the role of multimorbidity and age.Netherlands heart journal : monthly journal of the Netherlands Society of Cardiology and the Netherlands Heart Foundation · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sander van DoornJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4319-3503
Annerien TavenierJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Frans H RuttenJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Arno W HoesJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Karel G M MoonsJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Geert-Jan GeersingJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPatients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risk of many adverse events, notably stroke. To prevent all adverse outcomes, integrated AF care is advocated though the potential domain for such multidisciplinary management is still unclear. Therefore, insight in the systemic nature of AF and identifying patients at risk of adverse events after oral anticoagulation is needed. The aim of this study is to first describe the risk of hospitalisation and mortality in community-dwelling older patients with AF using anticoagulants, and second to assess the association between traditional cardiac risk factors and these outcomes.

designA prospective cohort.

settingGeneral practice.

participants2068 patients with AF using oral anticoagulants. OUTCOME MEASURES: We calculated incidence rates (IRs) of ischaemic stroke, bleeding, hospitalisations and mortality, and compared risk factors using Cox regression between those with and without an adverse event, both for cardiac and non-cardiac causes.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 2.7 (IQR 2.2-3.0) years, the IR per 100 person-years was 22.1 for hospitalisations and 6.7 for mortality. Non-cardiac events outnumbered cardiac events (IRs 15.7 vs 7.6 per 100 person-years for hospitalisation, p<0.001 and 5.0 vs 1.7, p<0.001 for mortality). As a comparison, the IRs for stroke and major bleeding were 1.7 and 0.8 per 100 person years, respectively. In multivariate models, high age, heart failure and vascular disease were independently associated with all-cause hospitalisation and- in addition to diabetes, previous stroke and renal disease-for all-cause mortality.

conclusionsIn anticoagulated community-dwelling patients with AF, stroke risk is effectively reduced and thus fairly low, whereas risks of hospitalisation and mortality remain high, importantly mainly for non-cardiac causes. Notably high age, heart failure and vascular disease are predictive for such outcomes and may be of value in identifying high-risk patients in the future. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NTR3741.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAnticoagulantsAtrial FibrillationCohort StudiesDiabetes MellitusFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart FailureHemorrhageHospitalizationHumansIndependent LivingKidney DiseasesMaleAnticoagulantsanticoagulationatrial fibrillationhospitalisationmortalitystroke risk factors

Identifiers

PMID30139900
PMCPMC6112390

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.