Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30138792›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2018

The end of convergence in developmental patterns of frequent marijuana use from ages 18 to 30: An analysis of cohort change from 1976-2016.

Yvonne M Terry-McElrath, Megan E Patrick, Patrick M O'Malley, Lloyd D Johnston

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. A qualitative examination of positive and negative consequences young adults experience from simultaneous alcohol and cannabis use.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Assessing the public health impacts of legalizing recreational cannabis use: the US experience.World psychiatry : official journal of the World Psychiatric Association (WPA) · 2020
    Article
  9. Consequences of alcohol and marijuana use among college students: Prevalence rates and attributions to substance-specific versus simultaneous use.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2020
    Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Yvonne M Terry-McElrathInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, PO Box 1248, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248, USA. Electronic address: yterry@umich.edu.
Megan E PatrickInstitute for Translational Research in Children's Mental Health, Institute of Child Development, University of Minnesota, 1100 Washington Ave S., Suite 101, Minneapolis, MN 55414, USA. Electronic address: mpatrick@umn.edu.
Patrick M O'MalleyInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, PO Box 1248, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248, USA. Electronic address: pomalley@umich.edu.
Lloyd D JohnstonInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, PO Box 1248, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248, USA. Electronic address: lloydj@umich.edu.

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-65 - Diversity Supplement (Solberg)R01DA016575 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Megan E. Patrick · 2003 to 2026
$44.6M
Dynamic Links Between Risk Factors, Substance Use, and Consequences: Ages 18-35R01DA037902 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI PATRICK, MEGAN E. · 2015 to 2018
$1.5M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016575NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037902
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study examines the extent to which the developmental pattern of frequent marijuana use prevalence from ages 18 to 30 (overall and by gender) has varied across historical time (cohort groups) using data from a national sample of US young adults.

methodsSelf-reported data on frequent marijuana use (use on 20+ occasions in the past 30 days) from modal ages 18 to 30 were obtained from 58,059 individuals from 29 sequential cohorts (graduating high school classes of 1976-2004) participating in the Monitoring the Future study. Time-varying effect modeling was used to model cohort group differences in developmental patterns of frequent use overall and by gender.

resultsDevelopmental patterns of frequent marijuana use prevalence varied meaningfully across cohort groups. Frequent use at age 18 differed significantly across cohort groups as expected based on national data. Among earlier cohort groups (reaching age 30 during 1987-2008), developmental patterns converged by age 30 to relatively low frequent marijuana use prevalence. In contrast, among cohort groups reaching age 30 during 2008-2016, frequent marijuana use at age 30 was significantly higher than all previous cohort groups. Observed cohort differences did not vary significantly by gender.

conclusionsCross-cohort convergence in developmental patterns of frequent marijuana use prevalence by age 30 was not observed among recent cohort groups, among whom age 30 frequent marijuana use prevalence was at the highest levels observed since the study began. Higher frequent marijuana use prevalence in late young adulthood has meaningful health risk and service provision implications.

Indexed as

Self ReportAdolescentAdultAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMarijuana AbuseMarijuana SmokingMarijuana UsePrevalenceYoung AdultDevelopmental patternDevelopmental trajectoryFrequent marijuana useTime-varying effect modelingYoung adult

Identifiers

PMID30138792
PMCPMC6458596

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.