Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30126130›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2018

Short-Term Effects of Heat on Mortality and Effect Modification by Air Pollution in 25 Italian Cities.

Matteo Scortichini, Manuela De Sario, Francesca K de'Donato, Marina Davoli, Paola Michelozzi, Massimo Stafoggia

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 85 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Associations of PMBMC public health · 2026
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  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. The effect modification of PMEnvironmental health and preventive medicine · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Observational
  18. Climatic influences on cardiovascular diseases.World journal of cardiology · 2022
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Matteo ScortichiniDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, 00147 Rome, Italy. m.scortichini@deplazio.it.
Manuela De SarioDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, 00147 Rome, Italy. m.desario@deplazio.it.ORCID 0000-0002-1117-2735
Francesca K de'DonatoDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, 00147 Rome, Italy. f.dedonato@deplazio.it.
Marina DavoliDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, 00147 Rome, Italy. m.davoli@deplazio.it.
Paola MichelozziDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, 00147 Rome, Italy. p.michelozzi@deplazio.it.
Massimo StafoggiaDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, 00147 Rome, Italy. m.stafoggia@deplazio.it.
ASL Roma · ITKarolinska Institutet · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evidence on the health effects of extreme temperatures and air pollution is copious. However few studies focused on their interaction. The aim of this study is to evaluate daily PM10 and ozone as potential effect modifiers of the relationship between temperature and natural mortality in 25 Italian cities. Time-series analysis was run for each city. To evaluate interaction, a tensor product between mean air temperature (lag 0⁻3) and either PM10 or ozone (both lag 0⁻5) was defined and temperature estimates were extrapolated at low, medium, and high levels of pollutants. Heat effects were estimated as percent change in mortality for increases in temperature between 75th and 99th percentiles. Results were pooled by geographical area. Differential temperature-mortality risks by air pollutants were found. For PM10, estimates ranged from 3.9% (low PM10) to 14.1% (high PM10) in the North, from 3.6% to 24.4% in the Center, and from 7.5% to 21.6% in the South. Temperature-related mortality was similarly modified by ozone in northern and central Italy, while no effect modification was observed in the South. This study underlines the synergistic effects of heat and air pollution on mortality. Considering the predicted increase in heat waves and stagnation events in the Mediterranean countries such as Italy, it is time to enclose air pollution within public health heat prevention plans.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsAir PollutionCitiesHot TemperatureHumansItalyMortalityOzoneParticulate MatterPublic HealthAir PollutantsOzoneParticulate Matterair pollutionair temperatureeffect modificationheatmortality

Identifiers

PMID30126130
PMCPMC6122066
OpenAlexW2887484100

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.