ArticlePloS one2018
Trends in cigarette demand and supply in Africa.
Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- A Systematic Review of Tobacco Industry Tactics in Southeast Asia: Lessons for Other Low- And MiddleIncome Regions.International journal of health policy and management · 2021Pooled it
- Current prevalence pattern of tobacco smoking in Nigeria: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC public health · 2019Pooled it
- Sex disparities in current cigarette smoking prevalence among individuals aged 15 years and older in 39 African countries: a descriptive study using the World Health Organization Health Equity Assessment Toolkit.Global health action · 2026Article
- Tobacco use and associated factors among adults in Ghana: evidence from the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey.BMJ open · 2026Article
- Making cigarette taxes more effective in Mozambique: A simulation analysis using the Tobacco Excise Tax Simulation Model (TETSiM).PloS one · 2026Article
- A community cross-sectional study on oral health status among rural and urban inhabitants of Zambia.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Random forest algorithm for predicting tobacco use and identifying determinants among pregnant women in 26 sub-Saharan African countries: a 2024 analysis.BMC public health · 2025Article
- How has the tobacco industry passed tax changes through to consumers in 12 sub-Saharan African countries?Tobacco control · 2025Article
- A nonlinear decomposition analysis of the rural-urban disparities in tobacco use among women in sub-Saharan Africa.PloS one · 2025Article
- Support for tobacco endgame approaches: Results from a web-based survey of stakeholders from 28 African countries.Tobacco induced diseases · 2025Article
- Contextual factors impacting WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control implementation in Africa-a scoping review.Health promotion international · 2024Article
- Gender differences in use of cigarette and non-cigarette tobacco products among adolescents aged 13-15 years in 20 African countries.Tobacco induced diseases · 2024Article
- Autophagy in Its (Proper) Context: Molecular Basis, Biological Relevance, Pharmacological Modulation, and Lifestyle Medicine.International journal of biological sciences · 2024Review
- Prevalence and Associated Factors of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Among Adults in Neno District, Malawi: A Cross-Sectional Analytical Study.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2024Article
- Characterisation of Tobacco Use and its Associated Factors Among Older Youths in an Urban Setting: The Case of Wakiso, Uganda.The East African health research journal · 2024Article
- Determinants of tobacco use among pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa. A multilevel mixed-effect logistic regression model.PloS one · 2024Article
- Framing the policy debate over tobacco control legislation and tobacco taxation in South Africa.Tobacco control · 2023Article
- A gender-specific assessment of tobacco use risk factors: evidence from the latest Pakistan demographic and health survey.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Prevalence and correlates of current tobacco use and non-user susceptibility to using tobacco products among school-going adolescents in 22 African countries: a secondary analysis of the 2013-2018 global youth tobacco surveys.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2022Article
- Cigarette Prices and Smoking Experimentation in Sierra Leone: An Exploratory Study.Tobacco use insights · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundSince the tobacco epidemic is moving from developed to developing countries, it is important to understand trends in cigarette demand and supply. We focus on the African market since it offers the tobacco industry one of the best expansion potentials. DATA: A large variety of data from commercial (Canadean, Euromonitor International, tobacco industry reports), governmental (United Nations Comtrade, national statistics), and academic sources (Cigarette Citadels Map and journal articles) were utilized.
methodsWe compile data from multiple sources to study cigarette demand in Africa from 1990 to 2012. We then focus on cigarette production and international cigarette trade to detect structural changes in cigarette supply over the past few decades. We contrast data from these different sources.
resultsCigarette demand and supply data in Africa is limited and is sometimes inconsistent across different sources. Given this caveat, we found that the overall demand for cigarettes (measured by sales) in the 22 countries covered by Canadean, which represents 80% of Africa's population, increased by 44% (from 165.6 billion cigarettes to 238.5 billion cigarettes) from 1990 to 2012. This higher demand has been met by cigarette production increasing in these 22 countries by 106% during the same period. As a result, Africa has moved from being a net importer to a net exporter of cigarettes. At the same time, cigarette production has become more concentrated as the tobacco industry has strategically identified certain countries as production hubs.
conclusionsMonitoring the production, consumption and trade of cigarettes by improving the quality of surveillance is necessary to understand the demand and supply of cigarettes not only in Africa, but globally.
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