Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30112769›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of clinical pharmacology2018

A smart algorithm for the prevention and risk management of QTc prolongation based on the optimized RISQ-PATH model.

Eline Vandael, Bert Vandenberk, Joris Vandenberghe, Bart Van den Bosch, Rik Willems, Veerle Foulon

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Article in British journal of clinical pharmacology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

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18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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3 · Its place in the literature

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18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Eline VandaelDepartment of Pharmaceutical and Pharmacological Sciences, KU Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-7003-7448
Bert VandenberkDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, KU Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.
Joris VandenbergheDepartment of Neurosciences, KU Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.
Bart Van den BoschInformatics Department, University Hospitals Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.
Rik WillemsDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, KU Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.
Veerle FoulonDepartment of Pharmaceutical and Pharmacological Sciences, KU Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsQTc prolongation is a complex problem linked with multiple risk factors. The RISQ-PATH score was previously developed to identify high-risk patients for QTc prolongation. The aim of this study was to optimize and validate this risk score in a large patient cohort, and to propose an algorithm to generate smart QT signals in the electronic medical record.

methodsA retrospective study was performed in the Nexus hospital network (n = 17) in Belgium. All electrocardiograms performed in 2015 in both ambulatory and hospitalized patients were collected together with risk factors for QTc prolongation (training database). Multiple logistic regression was performed to obtain the optimal prediction (RISQ-PATH) model. The model was tested in a validation database (electrocardiograms between January and April 2016).

resultsIn total, 60 208 patients (52.8% males, mean age 63 ± 18 years) were included; 3543 patients (5.9%) had a QTc ≥ 450(♂)/470(♀) ms and 453 (0.8%) a QTc ≥ 500 ms. The optimized RISQ-PATH model has an area under the ROC-curve of 0.772 [95% CI 0.763-0.780] to predict QTc ≥ 450(♂)/470(♀)ms. A predicted probability of ≥0.035 was set as cutoff for a high risk of QTc prolongation. This cutoff resulted in a sensitivity of 87.4% [95% CI 86.2-88.5] and a specificity of 46.2% [95% CI 45.8-46.6]. These results could be confirmed for QTc ≥ 500 ms and in the validation database (n = 28 400).

conclusionsThe RISQ-PATH model, with a cutoff probability of 0.035, predicted a prolonged QTc interval ≥ 450/470 ms or ≥500 ms with a sensitivity of ±87% and a specificity of ±45%. This RISQ-PATH model can be used in clinical decision support systems to create smart QT alerts.

Indexed as

Risk ManagementAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsCross-Sectional StudiesDecision Support Systems, ClinicalElectrocardiographyFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsLong QT SyndromeMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective Studiesclinical decision support systemsQTc prolongationrisk managementTorsades de Pointes

Identifiers

PMID30112769
PMCPMC6255989

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.