Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30107832›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2018

Time trends and future prediction of coal worker's pneumoconiosis in opencast coal mine in China based on the APC model.

Yuting Li, Wei Xian, Haodi Xu, Jinbin Sun, Bing Han, Hongbo Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yuting LiSchool of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110122, People's Republic of China.
Wei XianSchool of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110122, People's Republic of China.
Haodi XuSchool of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110122, People's Republic of China.
Jinbin SunSchool of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110122, People's Republic of China.
Bing HanSchool of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110122, People's Republic of China.
Hongbo LiuSchool of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110122, People's Republic of China. hbliu@cmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7404-4271

Funding

the National Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province no.2014021099
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe opencast coal mine is a specific mine differing from the underground mine. There are differences in the way into the ore body, the organization of production, transport technology and other aspects. This study aimed to describe the prevalence of CWP among ex-dust miners in opencast coal mines and estimate the incidence trend of CWP by APC model in the future.

methodsAll opencast miners who had been exposed to dust for at least 1 year in opencast mines were enrolled in this study. The database included demographic details, occupational history records with the date of dust exposure, physical examination records and pneumoconiosis diagnosis records. An age-period-cohort (APC) model has been carried out in order to explore the effects of the age, period and cohort on the prevalence of CWP among ex-dust opencast miners.

results8191 opencast miners were enrolled in the study, including 259 miners with CWP and 7932 miners without CWP. The incidence density of CWP would have an increasing trend in opencast mines from 2005 to 2024. The number of possible CWP patients predicted in this period was approximately 492. Of them, 275 miners could have suffered from CWP in 2005-2014 and 217 miners would suffer from CWP in 2015-2024 among the ex-dust opencast miners.

conclusionsThe APC model had a goodness of fit in predicting the incidence trend of CWP in opencast coal mines. By this model, we predicted that 492 opencast miners could be diagnosed as CWP from 2005 to 2024. Therefore ex-dust opencast miners cannot be ignored and they should have regular physical examinations and detection for CWP.

Indexed as

Coal MiningModels, StatisticalAdultAgedAnthracosisChinaCoalCohort StudiesDustForecastingHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedMinersOccupational DiseasesPrevalenceCoalDustAge-period-cohort modelCoal workers’ pneumoconiosisIncidence trendPrediction

Identifiers

PMID30107832
PMCPMC6092848

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.