Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30107291›Full record

ArticleEnvironment international2018

Influences of heatwave, rainfall, and tree cover on cholera in Bangladesh.

Jianyong Wu, Mohammad Yunus, Mohammad Ali, Veronica Escamilla, Michael Emch

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environment international, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 54 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Temperature and risk of infectious diarrhea: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. How climate change can affect cholera incidence and prevalence? A systematic review.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020
    Pooled it
  5. Article
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  7. Lethal Heat and Humidity Events.Annual review of environment and resources · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Jianyong WuDepartment of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: jianyong.wu@alumni.unc.edu.
Mohammad YunusInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh.
Mohammad AliDepartment of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Johns Hopkins University, MD 21205, USA.
Veronica EscamillaCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA.
Michael EmchDepartment of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research · BDJohns Hopkins University · US

Funding

Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
Does ArsenicMitigation in BangladeshRaiseExposure to Bacterial and ViralPathogensR01TW008066 · FIC · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI VAN GEEN, ALEXANDER FRANS · 2007 to 2010
$1.7M
FIC NIH HHS R01 TW008066NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cholera is a severe diarrheal disease and remains a global threat to public health. Climate change and variability have the potential to increase the distribution and magnitude of cholera outbreaks. However, the effect of heatwave on the occurrence of cholera at individual level is still unclear. It is also unknown whether the local vegetation could potentially mitigate the effects of extreme heat on cholera outbreaks. In this study, we designed a case-crossover study to examine the association between the risk of cholera and heatwaves as well as the modification effects of rainfall and tree cover. The study was conducted in Matlab, a cholera endemic area of rural Bangladesh, where cholera case data were collected between January 1983 and April 2009. The association between the risk of cholera and heatwaves was examined using conditional logistic regression models. The results showed that there was a higher risk of cholera two days after heatwaves (OR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.07-2.19) during wet days (rainfall > 0 mm). For households with less medium-dense tree cover, the heatwave after a 2-day lag was positively associated (OR = 1.80, 95% CI: 1.01-3.22) with the risk of cholera during wet days. However, for households with more medium-dense tree cover, the association between the risk of cholera and heatwave in 2-day lag was not significant. These findings suggest that heatwaves might promote the occurrence of cholera, while this relationship was modified by rainfall and tree cover. Further investigations are needed to explore major mechanisms underlying the association between heatwaves and cholera as well as the beneficial effects of tree cover.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultBangladeshChildChild, PreschoolCholeraClimate ChangeDisease OutbreaksExtreme HeatFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle AgedOdds RatioCase-crossoverClimate extremeGreenspaceInfectious diseaseTemperature

Identifiers

PMID30107291
PMCPMC6690386
OpenAlexW2886056266

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.