Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30104326›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2018

Early detection of multiple myeloma in primary care using blood tests: a case-control study in primary care.

Constantinos Koshiaris, Ann Van den Bruel, Jason L Oke, Brian D Nicholson, Elizabeth Shephard, Mick Braddick, William Hamilton

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05539079 (A Prospective Long-term Observational Study in Patients With Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance), which is not on this map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05539079 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

A Prospective Long-term Observational Study in Patients With Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance

TypeobservationalSponsorOxford University Hospitals NHS TrustRan2023 to 2032Enrolled2,000ConditionsMGUS
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 60 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  8. Prevalence and patterns of testing for anaemia in primary care in England: a cohort study using an electronic health records database.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. A Stepwise Screening Protocol for Multiple Myeloma.Journal of clinical medicine · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Constantinos KoshiarisNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.
Ann Van den BruelNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.
Jason L OkeNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.
Brian D NicholsonNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.
Elizabeth ShephardUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Exeter.
Mick BraddickChiddenbrook Surgery, Crediton, Devon.
William HamiltonUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Exeter.
University of Oxford · GBUniversity of Exeter · GBCrediton Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMultiple myeloma is a haematological cancer characterised by numerous non-specific symptoms leading to diagnostic delay in a large proportion of patients.

aimTo identify which blood tests are useful in suggesting or excluding a diagnosis of myeloma. DESIGN AND

settingA matched case-control study set in UK primary care using routinely collected data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

methodSymptom prevalence and blood tests were analysed up to 5 years before diagnosis in 2703 cases and 12 157 matched controls. Likelihood ratios (LR) were used to classify tests or their combinations as useful rule-in tests (LR+ = ≥5), or rule-out tests (LR- = ≤0.2).

resultsRaised plasma viscosity (PV) had an LR+ = 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.7 to 2.3; erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) 1.9, 95% CI = 1.7 to 2.0; and C-reactive protein (CRP) 1.2, 95% CI = 1.1 to 1.4. A normal haemoglobin had an LR- = 0.42, 95% CI = 0.39 to 0.45; calcium LR- = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.78 to 0.83; and creatinine LR- = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.77 to 0.83. The test combination with the lowest LR- was all normal haemoglobin with calcium and PV, which had an LR- = 0.06, 95% CI = 0.02 to 0.18, though the LR- for normal haemoglobin and PV together was 0.12 (95% CI = 0.07 to 0.23).

conclusionPlasma viscosity and ESR are better for both ruling in and ruling out the disease compared with C-reactive protein. A combination of a normal ESR or PV and normal haemoglobin is a simple rule-out approach for patients currently being tested in primary care.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerPrimary Health CareAgedBiomarkers, TumorBlood SedimentationBlood ViscosityCase-Control StudiesDiagnostic Tests, RoutineFemaleHumansMaleMultiple MyelomaPlasmaPrevalenceUnited KingdomBiomarkers, Tumorbloodcase–control studiesdiagnosisinflammatorymultiple myelomaprimary care

Identifiers

PMID30104326
PMCPMC6104875
OpenAlexW2887942969

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.