Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30103784›Full record

Trial reportBMC medicine2018

Exploring causality in the association between circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D and colorectal cancer risk: a large Mendelian randomisation study.

Yazhou He, Maria Timofeeva, Susan M Farrington, Peter Vaughan-Shaw, Victoria Svinti, Marion Walker, Lina Zgaga, Xiangrui Meng, Xue Li, Athina Spiliopoulou and 18 more

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
9.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 80 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Vitamin D supplementation and total cancer incidence and mortality: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 13 institutions in 8 countries.

Yazhou HeColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Maria TimofeevaColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Susan M FarringtonColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Peter Vaughan-ShawColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Victoria SvintiColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Marion WalkerColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Lina ZgagaColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Xiangrui MengCentre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK.
Xue LiCentre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK.
Athina SpiliopoulouCentre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK.
Xia JiangProgram in Genetic Epidemiology and Statistical Genetics. Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H.Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Elina HyppönenAustralian Centre for Precision Health, University of South Australia Cancer Research Institute, University of South Australia, Adelaide, SA, 5001, Australia.
Peter KraftProgram in Genetic Epidemiology and Statistical Genetics. Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H.Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Douglas P KielInstitute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, 1200 Centre Street, Boston, MA, 02131, USA.
SUNLIGHT consortium
Caroline HaywardMRC Human Genetics Unit, MRC Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, The University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Archie CampbellGeneration Scotland, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, The University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital Edinburgh, Crewe Road, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
David PorteousGeneration Scotland, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, The University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital Edinburgh, Crewe Road, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Katarina VucicAgency for Medicinal Products and Medical Devices, Department for Quality, Safety and Efficacy Assessment, Zagreb, Croatia.
Iva KiracDepartment of Surgical Oncology, University Hospital for Tumours, Sestre milosrdnice University Hospital Centre, Zagreb, Croatia.
Masa FilipovicSchool of Medicine, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.
Sarah E HarrisCentre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Ian J DearyCentre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Richard HoulstonDivision of Genetics and Epidemiology, The Institute of Cancer Research, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5NG, UK.
Ian P TomlinsonInstitute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Harry CampbellColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Evropi TheodoratouColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK. e.theodoratou@ed.ac.uk.
Malcolm G DunlopColon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK. malcolm.dunlop@ed.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-3033-5851
Western General Hospital · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBHarvard University · USAgency for Medicinal Products and Medical Devices of Croatia · HRBroad Institute · USEdinburgh Cancer Research · GBInstitute of Cancer Research · GBSichuan University · CNTrinity College Dublin · IEUniversity Hospital Centre Zagreb · HRUniversity of Birmingham · GBUniversity of South Australia · AUUniversity of Zagreb · HR

Funding

Data sharing: the Colon Cancer Family Registry CohortU01CA167551 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE · PI Daniel David BUCHANAN, Steven Gallinger · 2018 to 2026
$16.8M
Statistical Methods for Analysis of Massive Genetic and Genomic Data in Cancer ResearchR35CA197449 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI XIHONG LIN · 2015 to 2026
$10.9M
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/F019394/1Cancer Research UK 12076Cancer Research UK 16459Cancer Research UK 18927Cancer Research UK 22804Cancer Research UK C31250/A22804Cancer Research UK C348/A18927Medical Research Council G0600237Medical Research Council G0600329Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_PC_U127527198Medical Research Council MC_PC_U127561128Medical Research Council MC_QA137853Medical Research Council MC_U127527198Medical Research Council MC_UU_00007/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00007/10Medical Research Council MR/K018647/1Medical Research Council MR/K026992/1Medical Research Council MR/M004007/1NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197449NCI NIH HHS U01 CA167551Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhilst observational studies establish that lower plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) levels are associated with higher risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), establishing causality has proven challenging. Since vitamin D is modifiable, these observations have substantial clinical and public health implications. Indeed, many health agencies already recommend supplemental vitamin D. Here, we explore causality in a large Mendelian randomisation (MR) study using an improved genetic instrument for circulating 25-OHD.

methodsWe developed a weighted genetic score for circulating 25-OHD using six genetic variants that we recently reported to be associated with circulating 25-OHD in a large genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis. Using this score as instrumental variable in MR analyses, we sought to determine whether circulating 25-OHD is causally linked with CRC risk. We conducted MR analysis using individual-level data from 10,725 CRC cases and 30,794 controls (Scotland, UK Biobank and Croatia). We then applied estimates from meta-analysis of 11 GWAS of CRC risk (18,967 cases; 48,168 controls) in a summary statistics MR approach.

resultsThe new genetic score for 25-OHD was strongly associated with measured plasma 25-OHD levels in 2821 healthy Scottish controls (P = 1.47 × 10

conclusionsDespite the scale of this study and employing an improved score capturing more of the genetic contribution to circulating 25-OHD, we found no evidence for a causal relationship between circulating 25-OHD and CRC risk. Although the magnitude of effect for vitamin D suggested by observational studies can confidently be excluded, smaller effects sizes and non-linear relationships remain plausible. Circulating vitamin D may be a CRC biomarker, but a causal effect on CRC risk remains unproven.

Indexed as

Case-Control StudiesColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMiddle AgedRisk FactorsVitamin D25-hydroxyvitamin DVitamin DColorectal cancerMendelian randomisationVitamin D

Identifiers

PMID30103784
PMCPMC6090711
OpenAlexW2886937924

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.