Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30098782›Full record

ArticleOral oncology2018

Nomogram for preoperative prediction of nodal extracapsular extension or positive surgical margins in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

Mohammad K Hararah, William A Stokes, Bernard L Jones, Ayman Oweida, Ding Ding, Jessica McDermott, Julie Goddard, Sana D Karam

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Oral oncology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Prognostic impact of extranodal extension (ENE) in surgically managed treatment-naive HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma with nodal metastasis.Modern pathology : an official journal of the United States and Canadian Academy of Pathology, Inc · 2022
    Article
  4. Development of a prognostic model of overall survival in oropharyngeal cancer from real-world data: PRO.M.E.THE.O.Acta otorhinolaryngologica Italica : organo ufficiale della Societa italiana di otorinolaringologia e chirurgia cervico-facciale · 2022
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Mohammad K HararahDepartments of Otolaryngology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
William A StokesRadiation Oncology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Bernard L JonesRadiation Oncology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Ayman OweidaRadiation Oncology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Ding DingRadiation Oncology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Jessica McDermottMedical Oncology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Julie GoddardDepartments of Otolaryngology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Sana D KaramRadiation Oncology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States. Electronic address: sana.karam@ucdenver.edu.
University of Colorado Denver · US

Funding

University of Colorado Cancer Center Support Grant - Lung Cancer Patient-Derived Xenografts with Autologous Human Immune SystemsP30CA046934 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI James V Degregori · 1988 to 2026
$117.0M
Paul Calabresis Award in Clinical Oncology ResearchK12CA086913 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI VIRGINIA F. BORGES, Jill E Slansky · 2000 to 2026
$17.8M
NCI NIH HHS K12 CA086913NCI NIH HHS P30 CA046934
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionExtracapsular extension (ECE) in regional lymph nodes and positive surgical margins (PSM) are considered high-risk adverse pathologic features in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) that each constitute an indication for postoperative adjuvant chemoradiation. We identify pre-operative clinical factors that can predict post-operative ECE and/or PSM and create a nomogram to help clinical decision making.

methodsAdult patients with non-metastatic OPSCC with initial surgical treatment and confirmed HPV status diagnosed between 2010 and 2014 were selected from the National Cancer Database. Clinical staging was modified to American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition parameters. Logistic regression was used for multivariate analysis to identify predictors of pathologic ECE and/or PSM.

results5065 patients were included. 47.5% of the 3336 HPV-positive (HPV+) patients had ECE/PSM. 40.4% of the 1729 HPV-negative (HPV-) patients with had ECE/PSM. A model was built that included age, clinical ECE, tumor grade, and clinical T and N staging for HPV+ patients. Increasing N-classification was highly predictive of pathologic ECE and/or PSM (N1 OR = 3.6, N2 OR = 7.0, N3 OR = 11.2, p < 0.01). Clinical ECE (OR = 4.1, p < 0.01), tumor grade (ORs 2.2-4.4 with p < 0.05), and increasing clinical T-classification (ORs 1.2-1.8, p < 0.05) were also associated with ECE and/or PSM. A similar model was built for HPV- with similar predictive capability. Two internally validated nomograms were designed that demonstrated good discrimination (HPV+ AUC = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.64-0.68, and HPV- AUC = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.67-0.72) and good calibration (goodness-of-fit statistic of HPV+ 6.32, p = 0.61 and HPV- 11.66, p = 0.17).

conclusionsThese are the first nomograms designed to help predict ECE or PSM for both HPV+ and HPV- OPSCC. The nomograms can facilitate shared decision-making between clinicians and patients as they consider upfront treatment selection for OPSCC.

Indexed as

Lymphatic MetastasisMargins of ExcisionNomogramsAgedAlphapapillomavirusCarcinoma, Squamous CellFemaleHumansMaleOropharyngeal NeoplasmsPreoperative PeriodAdjuvantCarcinomaChemoradiotherapyDecision makingHead and neck cancerHuman papillomavirus (HPV)Lymph nodesOropharyngeal cancerRadiation therapySquamous cellSurgical margins

Identifiers

PMID30098782
PMCPMC6886366
OpenAlexW2808106850

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.