ArticlePloS one2018
Climate variability impacts on rice production in the Philippines.
Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.
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Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed.
- Genetics of polymorphism in nitrogen-induced-susceptibility of rice toFrontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- A long-term paddy rice distribution dataset in Asia at a 30 m spatial resolution.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Effects of El Niño and the Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (+IOD) on Health, Food Security, Economics, and Conflict in Low- and Middle-Income Countries in the Indo-Pacific: A Systematic Review.Campbell systematic reviews · 2025Review
- Article
- Understanding rice production stagnation in the Philippines: Regional evidence and development implications.PloS one · 2025Article
- Mapping 10-m harvested area in the major winter wheat-producing regions of China from 2018 to 2022.Scientific data · 2024Article
- The importance of genotyping within the climate-smart plant breeding value chain - integrative tools for genetic enhancement programs.Frontiers in plant science · 2024Review
- Rice availability and stability in Africa under future socio-economic development and climatic change.Nature food · 2023Article
- A tree based eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning model to forecast the annual rice production in Bangladesh.PloS one · 2023Article
- Strengthening agroecological resilience through commons-based seed governance in the Philippines.Environment, development and sustainability · 2022Article
- Pyramiding of multiple strong-culm genes originating from indica and tropical japonica to the temperate japonica rice.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Precipitation and Soil Moisture Spatio-Temporal Variability and Extremes over Vietnam (1981-2019): Understanding Their Links to Rice Yield.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Deep learning based high-throughput phenotyping of chalkiness in rice exposed to high night temperature.Plant methods · 2022Article
- Linkage of SSR markers with rice blast resistance and development of partial resistant advanced lines of rice (Physiology and molecular biology of plants : an international journal of functional plant biology · 2022Article
- Androgenesis in indica rice: A comparative competency in development of doubled haploids.PloS one · 2022Article
- Two decades of rice research in Indonesia and the Philippines: A systematic review and research agenda for the social sciences.Humanities & social sciences communications · 2022Review
- Recent trends in nitrogen cycle and eco-efficient nitrogen management strategies in aerobic rice system.Frontiers in plant science · 2022Review
- Rice straw burning: a review on its global prevalence and the sustainable alternatives for its effective mitigation.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Review
- Improved Anther Culture Media for Enhanced Callus Formation and Plant Regeneration in Rice (Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Decreased wheat production in the USA from climate change driven by yield losses rather than crop abandonment.PloS one · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Changes in crop yield and production over time are driven by a combination of genetics, agronomics, and climate. Disentangling the role of these various influences helps us understand the capacity of agriculture to adapt to change. Here we explore the impact of climate variability on rice yield and production in the Philippines from 1987-2016 in both irrigated and rainfed production systems at various scales. Over this period, rice production is affected by variations in soil moisture, which are largely driven by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). We found that the climate impacts on rice production are strongly seasonally modulated and differ considerably by region. As expected, rainfed upland rice production systems are more sensitive to soil moisture variability than irrigated paddy rice. About 10% of the variance in rice production anomalies on the national level co-varies with soil moisture changes, which in turn are strongly negatively correlated with an index capturing ENSO variability. Our results show that while temperature variability is of limited importance in the Philippines today, future climate projections suggest that by the end of the century, temperatures might regularly exceed known limits to rice production if warming continues unabated. Therefore, skillful seasonal prediction will likely become increasingly crucial to provide the necessary information to guide agriculture management to mitigate the compounding impacts of soil moisture variability and temperature stress. Detailed case studies like this complement global yield studies and provide important local perspectives that can help in food policy decisions.
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