Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30084873›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2020

A Bayesian approach to Mendelian randomization with multiple pleiotropic variants.

Carlo Berzuini, Hui Guo, Stephen Burgess, Luisa Bernardinelli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed.

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  16. Mendelian randomization.Nature reviews. Methods primers · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Carlo BerzuiniCentre for Biostatistics, The University of Manchester, Jean McFarlane Building, University Place, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK.
Hui GuoCentre for Biostatistics, The University of Manchester, Jean McFarlane Building, University Place, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK.
Stephen BurgessDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK and MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Luisa BernardinelliDepartment of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG/13/13/30194Medical Research Council MC_UU_00002/7Medical Research Council MR/L003120/1Wellcome Trust 204623Wellcome Trust 204623/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We propose a Bayesian approach to Mendelian randomization (MR), where instruments are allowed to exert pleiotropic (i.e. not mediated by the exposure) effects on the outcome. By having these effects represented in the model by unknown parameters, and by imposing a shrinkage prior distribution that assumes an unspecified subset of the effects to be zero, we obtain a proper posterior distribution for the causal effect of interest. This posterior can be sampled via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods of inference to obtain point and interval estimates. The model priors require a minimal input from the user. We explore the performance of our method by means of a simulation experiment. Our results show that the method is reasonably robust to the presence of directional pleiotropy and moderate correlation between the instruments. One section of the article elaborates the model to deal with two exposures, and illustrates the possibility of using MR to estimate direct and indirect effects in this situation. A main objective of the article is to create a basis for developments in MR that exploit the potential offered by a Bayesian approach to the problem, in relation with the possibility of incorporating external information in the prior, handling multiple sources of uncertainty, and flexibly elaborating the basic model.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalBayes TheoremGenetic PleiotropyGenetic VariationHumansMendelian Randomization AnalysisCorrelated instrumentsEgger regressionInstrumental variableMedian estimatorMediationMetabolomicsShrinkageSparsity prior

Identifiers

PMID30084873
PMCPMC6920542

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.