Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30083026›Full record

ArticleJournal of behavioral decision making2018

Robustness of Decision-Making Competence: Evidence from two measures and an 11-year longitudinal study.

Andrew M Parker, Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Baruch Fischhoff, Joshua Weller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of behavioral decision making, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Sunk-cost judgments across the child to adult lifespan.Psychonomic bulletin & review · 2025
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  8. Many phish in theRisk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2023
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  18. Do Survey Probabilities Match Financial Market Beliefs?The journal of behavioral finance · 2018
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Andrew M ParkerRAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Wändi Bruine de BruinCentre for Decision Research, University of Leeds, UK.
Baruch FischhoffDepartment of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Joshua WellerSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Tilburg University, NL.

Funding

TRANSLATION MODULEP50DA005605 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI RIDENOUR, TY A · 1989 to 2014
$25.7M
Decision Making and Dysregulation Pathways in Adolescents with Parental SUD HistoR01DA033322 · NIDA · DECISION RESEARCH · PI WELLER, JOSHUA · 2013 to 2014
$520k
NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA005605NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA033322
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Decision-making competence is the ability to follow normative principles when making decisions. In a longitudinal analysis, we examine the robustness of decision-making competence over time, as measured by two batteries of paper-and-pencil tasks. Participants completed the youth version (Y-DMC) at age 19 and/or the adult version (A-DMC) eleven years later at age 30, as part of a larger longitudinal study. Both measures are comprised of tasks adapted from ones used in experimental studies of decision-making skills. Results supported the robustness of these measures and the usefulness of the construct. Response patterns for Y-DMC were similar to those observed with a smaller initial sample drawn from the same population. Response patterns for A-DMC were similar to those observed with an earlier community sample. Y-DMC and A-DMC were significantly correlated, for participants who completed both measures, 11 years apart, even after controlling for measures of cognitive ability. Nomological validity was observed in correlations of scores on both tests with measures of cognitive ability, cognitive style, and environmental factors with predicted relationships to decision-making competence, including household SES, neighborhood disadvantage, and paternal substance abuse. Higher Y-DMC and A-DMC scores were also associated with lower rates of potentially risky and antisocial behaviors, including adolescent delinquency, cannabis use, and early sexual behavior. Thus, the Y-DMC and A-DMC measures appear to capture a relatively stable, measurable construct that increases with supportive environmental factors and is associated with constructive behaviors.

Indexed as

adolescentsDecision-making competenceindividual differenceslife span

Identifiers

PMID30083026
PMCPMC6075651

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.