Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30080258›Full record

SynthesisAlcoholism, clinical and experimental research2018

Trends in Adult Alcohol Use and Binge Drinking in the Early 21st-Century United States: A Meta-Analysis of 6 National Survey Series.

Richard A Grucza, Kenneth J Sher, William C Kerr, Melissa J Krauss, Camillia K Lui, Yoanna E McDowell, Sarah Hartz, Gurpal Virdi, Laura J Bierut

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Alcoholism, clinical and experimental research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 256 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
256citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

256 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Umbrella review and Delphi study on modifiable factors for dementia risk reduction.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Changes in alcohol use during COVID-19 and associations with contextual and individual difference variables: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2022
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Menstrual cycle phase affects alcohol impairment of working memory.Alcohol, clinical & experimental research · 2025
    Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Sex differences in neural circuits driving binge-like drinking: a female-specific role for an amygdalo-striatal pathway.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Age and Sex Differences in Alcohol Withdrawal Syndrome.Mayo Clinic proceedings. Innovations, quality & outcomes · 2026
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

196 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Richard A GruczaDepartment of Psychiatry , Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.ORCID 0000-0002-8191-6875
Kenneth J SherDepartment of Psychological Sciences , University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri.ORCID 0000-0002-4420-8546
William C KerrAlcohol Research Group , Public Health Institute, Emeryville, California.ORCID 0000-0001-6612-9200
Melissa J KraussDepartment of Psychiatry , Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Camillia K LuiAlcohol Research Group , Public Health Institute, Emeryville, California.ORCID 0000-0001-9349-4772
Yoanna E McDowellDepartment of Psychological Sciences , University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri.ORCID 0000-0003-3766-9165
Sarah HartzDepartment of Psychiatry , Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.ORCID 0000-0002-5429-3799
Gurpal VirdiDepartment of Psychiatry , Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Laura J BierutDepartment of Psychiatry , Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.

Funding

Subject CollectionU10AA008401 · NIAAA · SUNY DOWNSTATE MEDICAL CENTER · PI JAY Arnold TISCHFIELD · 1989 to 2026
$162.7M
TREND &STRUCTURE OF ALCOHOL DEPENDENCE--GENERAL POPULATION 1990 SURVEY DATAP50AA005595 · NIAAA · WESTERN CONSORTIUM FOR PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MULIA, NINA · 1985 to 2025
$34.1M
Nicotine Dependence to Smoking Cessation: Sequencing Common and Rare VariantsR01DA036583 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BIERUT, LAURA J. · 2014 to 2017
$3.0M
Refining the Diagnosis of Alcohol Use Disorder: A Comprehensive ApproachR01AA024133 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI-COLUMBIA · PI SHER, KENNETH JAMES, STEINLEY, DOUGLAS L · 2015 to 2018
$2.1M
SMOKING, SUICIDE AND MENTAL HEALTH: USING POLICY CHANGE TO PROBE CAUSALITYR01DA042195 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GRUCZA, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2018
$676k
USING TEMPORAL VARIATION IN RISK BEHAVIOR TO UNDERSTAND TRENDS IN ADOLESCENT ALCOHOL MISUSER21AA025689 · NIAAA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GRUCZA, RICHARD A · 2018 to 2019
$416k
NIAAA NIH HHS P50 AA005595NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA024133NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA025689NIAAA NIH HHS U10 AA008401NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA036583NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA042195
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecent trends in alcoholic liver disease, alcohol-related emergency room admissions, and alcohol use disorder prevalence as measured by general-population surveys have raised concerns about rising alcohol-related morbidity and mortality in the United States. In contrast, upward trends in per capita alcohol consumption have been comparatively modest.

methodsTo resolve these discordant observations, we sought to examine trends in the prevalence of alcohol use and binge drinking from 6 regularly or periodically administered national surveys using a meta-analytic approach. Annual or periodic prevalence estimates for past-12-month or past-30-day alcohol use and binge drinking were estimated for available time points between the years 2000 and 2016. Estimates were combined in a random-effects regression model in which prevalence was modeled as a log-linear function of time to obtain meta-analytic trend estimates for the full population and by sex, race, age, and educational attainment.

resultsMeta-analysis-derived estimates of average annual percentage increase in the prevalence of alcohol use and binge drinking were 0.30% per year (95% CI: 0.22%, 0.38%) and 0.72% per year (95% CI: 0.46%, 0.98%), respectively. There was substantial between-survey heterogeneity among trend estimates, although there was notable consistency in the degree to which trends have impacted various demographic groups. For example, most surveys found that the changes in prevalence for alcohol use and binge drinking were large and positive for ages 50 to 64 and 65 and up, and smaller, negative, or nonsignificant for ages 18 to 29.

conclusionsSignificant increases in the prevalence of alcohol use and of binge drinking over the past 10 to 15 years were observed, but not for all demographic groups. However, the increase in binge drinking among middle-aged and older adults is substantial and may be driving increasing rates of alcohol-related morbidity and mortality.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAlcohol DrinkingBinge DrinkingFemaleHealth SurveysHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited StatesYoung AdultAdultsBinge DrinkingEpidemiologyMorbidityTrends

Identifiers

PMID30080258
PMCPMC6364977

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.