ArticleNature climate change2017
Less Than 2 °C Warming by 2100 Unlikely.
Article in Nature climate change, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 82 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
82 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Household COInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Pooled it
- Synthesis of scale-dependent plant biodiversity change in climate warming experiments.Ecology · 2026Article
- The variability fingerprint of a warming world informing climate risk and solutions.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Sixty years of observations and future projections of nine declining North American glaciers.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Natural variants ofScience advances · 2025Article
- Diel Versus Seasonal Butterfly Community Partitioning in a Hyperdiverse Tropical Rainforest.Insects · 2025Article
- A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Lords of the flies: dipteran migrants are diverse, abundant and ecologically important.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025Review
- High resolution multiple scenario simulations of future extreme sea levels in hong kong and socioeconomic risks.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Projections of Heat-Related Mortality in Chinese Cities: The Roles of Climate Change, Urbanization, Socioeconomic Adaptation, and Landscape-Level Strategies.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Article
- Local adaptation has a role in reducing vulnerability to climate change in a widespread Amazonian forest lizard.Heredity · 2025Article
- Multi-Species Telemetry Quantifies Current and Future Efficacy of a Remote Marine Protected Area.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Quantifying both socioeconomic and climate uncertainty in coupled human-Earth systems analysis.Nature communications · 2025Article
- The consequences of climate change and male reproductive health: A review of the possible impact and mechanisms.Biochemistry and biophysics reports · 2025Review
- Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Flavonols improve tomato pollen thermotolerance during germination and tube elongation by maintaining reactive oxygen species homeostasis.The Plant cell · 2024Article
- Hydrogen peroxide sulfenylates and inhibits the photorespiratory enzyme PGLP1 to modulate plant thermotolerance.Plant communications · 2024Article
- Thiourea improves yield and quality traits of Brassica napus L. by upregulating the antioxidant defense system under high temperature stress.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Meet and greet but avoid the heat: a reflection on the carbon footprint of congresses prompted by ERA2023.Clinical kidney journal · 2024Article
- Experimental heatwaves reduce the effectiveness of ejaculates at occupying female reproductive tracts in a model insect.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The recently published Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections to 2100 give likely ranges of global temperature increase in four scenarios for population, economic growth and carbon use
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.