Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30076362›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for MSM in low HIV incidence places: should high risk individuals be targeted?

Ngai Sze Wong, Tsz Ho Kwan, Owen T Y Tsang, Man Po Lee, Wing Cheong Yam, Wilson Lam, Wai Shing Leung, Jacky M C Chan, Kai Man Ho, Shui Shan Lee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Inclusion of LGBTQ+ Individuals in Hong Kong: A Scoping Review.Sexuality research & social policy : journal of NSRC : SR & SP · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ngai Sze WongStanley Ho Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3788-8114
Tsz Ho KwanJockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Owen T Y TsangDepartment of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Man Po LeeDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Wing Cheong YamDepartment of Microbiology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Wilson LamDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Wai Shing LeungDepartment of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Jacky M C ChanDepartment of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Kai Man HoDepartment of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Shui Shan LeeStanley Ho Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. sslee@cuhk.edu.hk.

Funding

Food and Health Bureau of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region | Health and Medical Research Fund (HMRF) CU-16-C14
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) targeting high-risk men who have sex with men (MSM) has been shown to be a cost-effective HIV control measure. However, the approach could be a challenge in low HIV incidence places with a low proportion of high-risk MSM. To examine the impact of PrEP in such setting in Asia, we developed an epidemic model and conducted cost-effectiveness analysis using empirical multicentre clinical and HIV sequence data from HIV-infected MSM in Hong Kong, in conjunction with behavioural data of local MSM. Without PrEP, the HIV incidence (per 100 person-years) would increase from 1.1 to 1.6 between 2011 and 2021. PrEP could avert 3-63% of total new infections in a five-year period (2017-2021), the variability of which depends on the implementation strategies and combination with test-and-treat. However, under current market drug price in 2016, the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained (QALYG) of PrEP (USD1583136/QALYG) is almost 3 times higher than test-and-treat intervention alone (USD396874/QALYG). Assuming 93% fall of PrEP drug price and in combination with test-and-treat, putting 30% of MSM on non-targeting PrEP would be more feasible, cost-effective (USD268915/QALYG), and could avert more new infections (40%). PrEP could contribute to HIV epidemic control in a low incidence place.

Indexed as

AdultAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCost-Benefit AnalysisHIVHIV InfectionsHomosexuality, MaleHong KongHumansMalePre-Exposure ProphylaxisQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSexual and Gender MinoritiesAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID30076362
PMCPMC6076226

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.