Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30070597›Full record

ArticleMultiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)2019

Predicting the profile of increasing disability in multiple sclerosis.

Valentina Tomassini, Fulvia Fanelli, Luca Prosperini, Raffaella Cerqua, Paola Cavalla, Carlo Pozzilli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Predictive factors for the progression of multiple sclerosis: a meta-analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Rituximab in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: a meta-analysis.Annals of clinical and translational neurology · 2024
    Pooled it
  3. Trial
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  6. Choosing initial MS therapy; personal, disease, and medication factors.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2025
    Review
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Prognostic Accuracy of NEDA-3 in Long-term Outcomes of Multiple Sclerosis.Neurology(R) neuroimmunology & neuroinflammation · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Valentina TomassiniDivision of Psychological Medicine and Clinical Neurosciences, School of Medicine, Cardiff University and University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7368-6280
Fulvia FanelliDepartment of Human Neurosciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Luca ProsperiniDepartment of Human Neurosciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy/Department of Neurosciences, San Camillo- Forlanini Hospital, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3237-6267
Raffaella CerquaNeurological Clinic, Marche Polytechnic University, Ancones, Italy.
Paola CavallaDepartment of Neurosciences, City of Health and Science University Hospital of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Carlo PozzilliDepartment of Human Neurosciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/L010305/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEffective therapeutic strategies to preserve function and delay progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) require early recognition of individual disease trajectories.

objectivesTo determine the profiles of disability evolution, identify their early predictors and develop a risk score of increasing disability.

methodsWe analysed demographic, clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data from patients with relapsing MS, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 3.0-4.0 and follow-up ≥ 2 years. Attaining EDSS = 6.0 defined

resultsIn total, 344 out of 542 (63.5%) patients reached EDSS ≥ 6.0; of these, 220 (64.0%) showed disease activity. In patients with activity, the number of relapses before reaching EDSS 3.0-4.0 predicted increasing disability; age > 45 at baseline predicted increasing disability without activity. Combining age and number of relapses increased the risk of and shortened the time to EDSS = 6.0.

conclusionIncreasing disability is frequently associated with persistent activity. The high number of relapses identifies early those patients worsening in the presence of activity. Age predicts increasing disability in the absence of activity. The presence of both factors increases the risk of developing severe disability. As this study likely describes the transition to progression, our findings contribute to improving patient management and stratification in trials on progressive MS.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionPersons with DisabilitiesSeverity of Illness IndexAdultAge FactorsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-RemittingPrognosisRecurrenceagedisabilityMRIMultiple sclerosispredictorsrelapse

Identifiers

PMID30070597
PMCPMC6681428

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.