Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30068308›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2018

Spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal analysis of mumps in Guangxi Province, China, 2005-2016.

Guoqi Yu, Rencong Yang, Yi Wei, Dongmei Yu, Wenwen Zhai, Jiansheng Cai, Bingshuang Long, Shiyi Chen, Jiexia Tang, Ge Zhong and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A Systematic Review of Spatial and Spatio-temporal Analyses in Public Health Research in Korea.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2021
    Pooled it
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  20. Effects of extreme meteorological factors on daily mumps cases in Hefei, China, during 2011-2016.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Guoqi YuDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Rencong YangGuangxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Institute of Vaccination, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Yi WeiDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Dongmei YuDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Wenwen ZhaiDepartment of Health Related Social and Behavioral Science, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Jiansheng CaiDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Bingshuang LongDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Shiyi ChenDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Jiexia TangDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
Ge ZhongGuangxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Institute of Vaccination, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China. gxzhongge@163.com.
Jian QinDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China. qinjian@gxmu.edu.cn.
Guangxi Medical University · CNGuangxi Center for Disease Prevention and Control · CNSichuan University · CN

Funding

Guangxi Science and Technology Development Project 14124005-2-11National Natural Science Foundation of China 81660528
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe resurgence of mumps around the world occurs frequently in recent years. As the country with the largest number of cases in the world, the status of mumps epidemics in China is not yet clear. This study, taking the relatively serious epidemic province of Guangxi as the example, aimed to examine the spatiotemporal pattern and epidemiological characteristics of mumps, and provide a scientific basis for the effective control of this disease and formulation of related health policies.

methodsGeographic information system (GIS)-based spatiotemporal analyses, including spatial autocorrelation analysis, Kulldorff's purely spatial and space-time scan statistics, were applied to detect the location and extent of mumps high-risk areas. Spatial empirical Bayesian (SEB) was performed to smoothen the rate for eliminating the instability of small-area data.

resultsA total of 208,470 cases were reported during 2005 and 2016 in Guangxi. Despite the fluctuations in 2006 and 2011, the overall mumps epidemic continued to decline. Bimodal seasonal distribution (mainly from April to July) were found and students aged 5-9 years were high-incidence groups. Though results of the global spatial autocorrelation based on the annual incidence largely varied, the spatial distribution of the average annual incidence of mumps was nonrandom with the significant Moran's I. Spatial cluster analysis detected high-value clusters, mainly located in the western, northern and central parts of Guangxi. Spatiotemporal scan statistics identified almost the same high-risk areas, and the aggregation time was mainly concentrated in 2009-2012.

conclusionThe incidence of mumps in Guangxi exhibited spatial heterogeneity in 2005-2016. Several spatial and spatiotemporal clusters were identified in this study, which might assist the local government to develop targeted health strategies, allocate health resources reasonably and increase the efficiency of disease prevention.

Indexed as

ChildChild, PreschoolChinaHumansMumpsSpatio-Temporal AnalysisClusterGuangxiMumpsSpatial analysis

Identifiers

PMID30068308
PMCPMC6090846
OpenAlexW2886057187

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.