Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30065272›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Syphilis prevalence trends in adult women in 132 countries - estimations using the Spectrum Sexually Transmitted Infections model.

Eline L Korenromp, S Guy Mahiané, Nico Nagelkerke, Melanie M Taylor, Rebecca Williams, R Matthew Chico, Carel Pretorius, Laith J Abu-Raddad, Jane Rowley

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Pregnancy as an Opportunity for Hepatitis C Virus Elimination and Eradication.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2024
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  17. A systematic review of the prevalence of selected sexually transmitted infections in young people in Latin America.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Eline L KorenrompAvenir Health, Geneva, Switzerland. ekorenromp@avenirhealth.org.
S Guy MahianéAvenir Health, Glastonbury, CT, USA.
Nico NagelkerkeMalawi-Liverpool Wellcome Trust, Blantyre, Malawi.
Melanie M TaylorWorld Health Organization, Dept. of Reproductive Health and Research, Geneva, Switzerland.
Rebecca WilliamsLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
R Matthew ChicoLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Carel PretoriusAvenir Health, Glastonbury, CT, USA.
Laith J Abu-RaddadWeill Cornell Medical College - Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar.ORCID 0000-0003-0790-0506
Jane RowleyUnaffiliated, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We estimated national-level trends in the prevalence of probable active syphilis in adult women using the Spectrum Sexually Transmitted Infections (STI) model to inform program planning, target-setting, and progress evaluation in STI control. The model fitted smoothed-splines polynomial regressions to data from antenatal clinic surveys and screening and representative household surveys, adjusted for diagnostic test performance and weighted by national coverage. Eligible countries had ≥1 data point from 2010 or later and ≥3 from 2000 or later from adult populations considered representative of the general female population (pregnant women or community-based studies). Between 2012 and 2016, the prevalence of probable active syphilis in women decreased in 54 (41%) of 132 eligible countries; this decrease was substantive (≥10% proportionally, ≥0.10% percentage-point absolute difference and non-overlapping 95% confidence intervals in 2012 and 2016) in 5 countries. Restricting eligible data to prevalence measurements of dual treponemal and non-treponemal testing limited estimates to 85 countries; of these, 45 countries (53%) showed a decrease. These standardized trend estimates highlight the need for increased investment in national syphilis surveillance and control efforts if the World Health Organization target of a 90% reduction in the incidence of syphilis between 2018 and 2030 is to be met.

Indexed as

AdultFemaleHumansIncidenceMass ScreeningModels, StatisticalPregnancyPregnancy Complications, InfectiousPrevalenceSexually Transmitted DiseasesSyphilis

Identifiers

PMID30065272
PMCPMC6068092

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.