Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30055658›Full record

ArticleSystematic reviews2018

Assessing imprecision in Cochrane systematic reviews: a comparison of GRADE and Trial Sequential Analysis.

Greta Castellini, Matteo Bruschettini, Silvia Gianola, Christian Gluud, Lorenzo Moja

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Systematic reviews, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 86 papers, 48 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
86citing papers in PubMed, 48 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

86 citing papers in PubMed, 48 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Corticosteroids for treatment of leptospirosis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2025
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  7. Vitamin E for people with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
  8. Tamoxifen for adults with hepatocellular carcinoma.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
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  12. Antibiotic prophylaxis for leptospirosis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
  13. Antibiotics for treatment of leptospirosis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
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  16. Self-assembling peptides for managing white spot lesions: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European archives of paediatric dentistry : official journal of the European Academy of Paediatric Dentistry · 2023
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  18. Exercise interventions for adults after liver transplantation.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023
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26 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Greta CastelliniDepartment of Biomedical Sciences for Health, University of Milan, via Pascal 36, 20133, Milan, Italy. greta.castellini@unimi.it.ORCID 0000-0002-3345-8187
Matteo BruschettiniDepartment of Paediatrics, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Silvia GianolaUnit of Clinical Epidemiology, IRCCS Galeazzi Orthopedic Institute, via Galeazzi, 4, 20161, Milan, Italy.
Christian GluudThe Copenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Lorenzo MojaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences for Health, University of Milan, via Pascal 36, 20133, Milan, Italy.

Funding

Ministero della Salute Giovani Ricercatori GR-2011-02348048
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe evaluation of imprecision is a key dimension of the grading of the confidence in the estimate. Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) gives recommendations on how to downgrade evidence for imprecision, but authors vary in their use. Trial Sequential Analysis (TSA) has been advocated for a more reliable assessment of imprecision. We aimed to evaluate reporting of and adherence to GRADE and to compare the assessment of imprecision of intervention effects assessed by GRADE and TSA in Cochrane systematic reviews.

methodsIn this cross-sectional study, we included 100 Cochrane reviews irrespective of type of intervention with a key dichotomous outcome meta-analyzed and assessed by GRADE. The methods and results sections of each review were assessed for adequacy of imprecision evaluation. We re-analyzed imprecision following the GRADE Handbook and the TSA Manual.

resultsOverall, only 13.0% of reviews stated the criteria they applied to assess imprecision. The most common dimensions were the 95% width of the confidence intervals and the optimal information size. Review authors downgraded 48.0% of key outcomes due to imprecision. When imprecision was re-analyzed following the GRADE Handbook, 64% of outcomes were downgraded. Agreement between review authors' assessment and assessment by the authors of this study was moderate (kappa 0.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23 to 0.58). TSA downgraded 69.0% outcomes due to imprecision. Agreement between review authors' GRADE assessment and TSA, irrespective of downgrading levels, was moderate (kappa 0.43, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.57). Agreement between our GRADE assessment following the Handbook and TSA was substantial (kappa 0.66, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.79).

conclusionsIn a sample of Cochrane reviews, methods for assessing imprecision were rarely reported. GRADE according to Handbook guidelines and TSA led to more severe judgment of imprecision rather than GRADE adopted by reviews' authors. Cochrane initiatives to improve adherence to GRADE Handbook are warranted. TSA may transparently assist in such development.

Indexed as

Meta-Analysis as TopicReview Literature as TopicSelection BiasCross-Sectional StudiesEpidemiologyHumansBiasConfidence intervalsEpidemiologic methodsMeta-analysisReview

Identifiers

PMID30055658
PMCPMC6064621

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.