Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30051227›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of clinical pharmacy2018

Development of a risk model for predicting QTc interval prolongation in patients using QTc-prolonging drugs.

Anita N Bindraban, José Rolvink, Florine A Berger, Patricia M L A van den Bemt, Aaf F M Kuijper, Ruud T M van der Hoeven, Aukje K Mantel-Teeuwisse, Matthijs L Becker

Abstract readValidation Study
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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of clinical pharmacy, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Surveillance of Corrected QT Interval-Prolonging Medications upon Admission throughout Hospitalization in a Tertiary Care Geriatric Ward.Medical principles and practice : international journal of the Kuwait University, Health Science Centre · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Determinants of severe QTFrontiers in psychiatry · 2023
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Anita N BindrabanPharmacy Foundation of Haarlem Hospitals, Boerhaavelaan 24, 2035 RC, Haarlem, The Netherlands.
José RolvinkPharmacy Foundation of Haarlem Hospitals, Boerhaavelaan 24, 2035 RC, Haarlem, The Netherlands.
Florine A BergerDepartment of Hospital Pharmacy, Erasmus University Medical Centre, 's-Gravendijkwal 230, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Patricia M L A van den BemtDepartment of Hospital Pharmacy, Erasmus University Medical Centre, 's-Gravendijkwal 230, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Aaf F M KuijperDepartment of Cardiology, Spaarne Gasthuis, Spaarnepoort 1, Hoofddorp, The Netherlands.
Ruud T M van der HoevenPharmacy Foundation of Haarlem Hospitals, Boerhaavelaan 24, 2035 RC, Haarlem, The Netherlands.
Aukje K Mantel-TeeuwisseDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Clinical Pharmacology, Utrecht Institute for Pharmaceutical Sciences (UIPS), Universiteitsweg 99, 3584 CG, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Matthijs L BeckerPharmacy Foundation of Haarlem Hospitals, Boerhaavelaan 24, 2035 RC, Haarlem, The Netherlands. mbecker@sahz.nl.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Numerous drugs prolong the QTc interval on the ECG and potentially increase the risk of cardiac arrhythmia. This risk is clinically relevant in patients with additional risk factors. Objective The objective was to develop and validate a risk model to predict QTc interval prolongation of eligible ECGs. Setting Spaarne Gasthuis (Haarlem/Hoofddorp, The Netherlands). Method A dataset was created from ECGs recorded in patients using one or more QTc prolonging drugs, in the period January 2013 and October 2016. In the development set, independent risk factors for QTc interval prolongation were determined using binary logistic regression. Risk scores were assigned based on the beta coefficient. In the risk-score validation set, the area under the ROC-curve, sensitivity and specificity were calculated. Main outcome measure QTc interval prolongation, defined as a QTc interval > 500 ms. Results In the development set 12,949 ECGs were included and in the risk-score validation set 6391 ECGs. The proportion of ECGs with a prolonged QTc interval in patients with no risk factors in the risk-score validation set was 2.7%, while in patients with a high risk score the proportion was 26.1%. The area under the ROC curve was 0.71 (95% CI 0.68-0.73). The sensitivity and specificity were 0.81 and 0.48, respectively. Conclusion A risk model was developed and validated for the prediction of QTc interval prolongation. This risk model can be implemented in a clinical decision support system, supporting the management of the risks involved with QTc interval prolonging drugs.

Indexed as

ElectrocardiographyModels, StatisticalAgedAged, 80 and overDecision Support Systems, ClinicalDrug-Related Side Effects and Adverse ReactionsFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsLong QT SyndromeMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveModel developmentQTc interval prolongationQTc prolonging drugsRisk model

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.