Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30050328›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2018

Adjusting for confounding by indication in observational studies: a case study in traumatic brain injury.

Maryse C Cnossen, Thomas A van Essen, Iris E Ceyisakar, Suzanne Polinder, Teuntje M Andriessen, Joukje van der Naalt, Iain Haitsma, Janneke Horn, Gaby Franschman, Pieter E Vos and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Anticonvulsant use and fracture: a case-control study.Journal of musculoskeletal & neuronal interactions · 2021
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  18. Defining Undertreatment and Overtreatment in Older Adults With Cancer: A Scoping Literature Review.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Maryse C CnossenCenter for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, m.c.cnossen@erasmusmc.nl.
Thomas A van EssenNeurosurgical Cooperative Holland, Department of Neurosurgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Iris E CeyisakarCenter for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, m.c.cnossen@erasmusmc.nl.
Suzanne PolinderCenter for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, m.c.cnossen@erasmusmc.nl.
Teuntje M AndriessenDepartment of Psychology, RIVAS Healthcare Group, Gorinchem, the Netherlands.
Joukje van der NaaltDepartment of Neurology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Iain HaitsmaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Janneke HornDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Gaby FranschmanDepartment of Anesthesiology, VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Pieter E VosDepartment of Neurology, Slingeland Hospital, Doetinchem, the Netherlands.
Wilco C PeulNeurosurgical Cooperative Holland, Department of Neurosurgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
David K MenonDivision of Anaesthesia, University of Cambridge/Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, UK.
Andrew Ir MaasDepartment of Neurosurgery, Antwerp University Hospital and University of Antwerp, Edegem, Belgium.
Ewout W SteyerbergCenter for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, m.c.cnossen@erasmusmc.nl.
Hester F LingsmaCenter for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, m.c.cnossen@erasmusmc.nl.
Erasmus MC · NLLeiden University Medical Center · NLAmsterdam UMC Location University of Amsterdam · NLAmsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · NLSlingeland Ziekenhuis · NLUniversity Medical Center Groningen · NLUniversity of Antwerp · BEUniversity of Cambridge · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionObservational studies of interventions are at risk for confounding by indication. The objective of the current study was to define the circumstances for the validity of methods to adjust for confounding by indication in observational studies. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe performed post hoc analyses of data prospectively collected from three European and North American traumatic brain injury studies including 1,725 patients. The effects of three interventions (intracranial pressure [ICP] monitoring, intracranial operation and primary referral) were estimated in a proportional odds regression model with the Glasgow Outcome Scale as ordinal outcome variable. Three analytical methods were compared: classical covariate adjustment, propensity score matching and instrumental variable (IV) analysis in which the percentage exposed to an intervention in each hospital was added as an independent variable, together with a random intercept for each hospital. In addition, a simulation study was performed in which the effect of a hypothetical beneficial intervention (OR 1.65) was simulated for scenarios with and without unmeasured confounders.

resultsFor all three interventions, covariate adjustment and propensity score matching resulted in negative estimates of the treatment effect (OR ranging from 0.80 to 0.92), whereas the IV approach indicated that both ICP monitoring and intracranial operation might be beneficial (OR per 10% change 1.17, 95% CI 1.01-1.42 and 1.42, 95% CI 0.95-1.97). In our simulation study, we found that covariate adjustment and propensity score matching resulted in an invalid estimate of the treatment effect in case of unmeasured confounders (OR ranging from 0.90 to 1.03). The IV approach provided an estimate in the similar direction as the simulated effect (OR per 10% change 1.04-1.05) but was statistically inefficient.

conclusionThe effect estimation of interventions in observational studies strongly depends on the analytical method used. When unobserved confounding and practice variation are expected in observational multicenter studies, IV analysis should be considered.

Indexed as

comparative effectiveness researchconfoundinginstrumental variable analysisobservational studiestraumatic brain injury

Identifiers

PMID30050328
PMCPMC6055622
OpenAlexW2883545209

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.