ArticlePloS one2018
Spring frost risk for regional apple production under a warmer climate.
Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Abiotic Stress in Crop Production.International journal of molecular sciences · 2023Pooled it
- Strategies for managing spring frost risks in orchards: effectiveness and conditionality-a systematic review.Environmental evidence · 2022Pooled it
- Ethephon as a bloom-delaying agent for frost-sensitive tree crop flowers at risk from a changing climate.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Pollinator Dependency and Regional Climate Affect Crop Yield Development Under Climate Change.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Prospective analysis of spatiotemporal variations in chill during winter, heat accumulation for flowering and spring frost in fruit trees in northeast Spain.International journal of biometeorology · 2026Article
- PEP725: 15 years of driving European and global phenology science.The New phytologist · 2026Review
- Frost fighters: The discovery of a tripartite molecular module that confers cold stress tolerance in apple.The Plant cell · 2026Article
- Cold-tolerant bacteria from alpine Rosaceae plants modulate transcriptional responses of apple and strawberry plantlets to freezing stress.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Ice Nucleation Activity byMycobiology · 2026Article
- Weighing the risks and benefits of flowering early in the spring for the woody perennial Prunus pumila.American journal of botany · 2024Article
- Genetic factors acting prior to dormancy in sour cherry influence bloom time the following spring.Journal of experimental botany · 2024Article
- Extreme weather events and crop insurance demand.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Functional evidence on the involvement of theFrontiers in plant science · 2024Article
- Genome of tetraploid sour cherry (Prunus cerasus L.) 'Montmorency' identifies three distinct ancestral Prunus genomes.Horticulture research · 2023Article
- Coping with the cold: unveiling cryoprotectants, molecular signaling pathways, and strategies for cold stress resilience.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Review
- Addressing pollination deficits in orchard crops through habitat management for wild pollinators.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2023Article
- Chill coma recovery of Ceratitis capitata adults across the Northern Hemisphere.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Accurate phenology analyses require bud traits and energy budgets.Nature plants · 2022Article
- Preparation of Poly(vinyl Alcohol) Microparticles for Freeze Protection of Sensitive Fruit Crops.Polymers · 2022Article
- Internal freezing and heat loss of apple (Frontiers in plant science · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Spring frosts, as experienced in Europe in April 2016 and 2017, pose a considerable risk to agricultural production, with the potential to cause significant damages to agricultural yields. Meteorological blocking events (stable high-pressure systems) have been shown to be one of the factors that trigger cold spells in spring. While current knowledge does not allow for drawing conclusions as to any change in future frequency and duration of blocking episodes due to climate change, the combination of their stable occurrence with the biological system under a warming trend can lead to economic damage increases. To evaluate future frost risk for apple producers in south-eastern Styria, we combine a phenological sequential model with highly resolved climate projections for Austria. Our model projects a mean advance of blooming of -1.6 ± 0.9 days per decade, shifting the bloom onset towards early April by the end of the 21st century. Our findings indicate that overall frost risk for apple cultures will remain in a warmer climate and potentially even increase due to a stronger connection between blocking and cold spells in early spring that can be identified from observational data. To prospectively deal with frost risk, measures are needed that either stabilize crop yields or ensure farmers' income by other means. We identify appropriate adaptation measures and relate their costs to the potential frost risk increase. Even if applied successfully, the costs of these measures in combination with future residual damages represent additional climate change related costs.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.