Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30044784›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Uncertainty quantification in ToxCast high throughput screening.

Eric D Watt, Richard S Judson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  14. Selecting a minimal set of androgen receptor assays for screening chemicals.Regulatory toxicology and pharmacology : RTP · 2020
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Identifying and Characterizing Stress Pathways of Concern for Consumer Safety in Next-Generation Risk Assessment.Toxicological sciences : an official journal of the Society of Toxicology · 2020
    Article
  17. Potential of ToxCast Data in the Safety Assessment of Food Chemicals.Toxicological sciences : an official journal of the Society of Toxicology · 2020
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Assessing Toxicokinetic Uncertainty and Variability in Risk Prioritization.Toxicological sciences : an official journal of the Society of Toxicology · 2019
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Eric D WattU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, National Center for Computational Toxicology, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1211-0229
Richard S JudsonU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, National Center for Computational Toxicology, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-2348-9633

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

High throughput screening (HTS) projects like the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's ToxCast program are required to address the large and rapidly increasing number of chemicals for which we have little to no toxicity measurements. Concentration-response parameters such as potency and efficacy are extracted from HTS data using nonlinear regression, and models and analyses built from these parameters are used to predict in vivo and in vitro toxicity of thousands of chemicals. How these predictions are impacted by uncertainties that stem from parameter estimation and propagated through the models and analyses has not been well explored. While data size and complexity makes uncertainty quantification computationally expensive for HTS datasets, continued advancements in computational resources have allowed these computational challenges to be met. This study uses nonparametric bootstrap resampling to calculate uncertainties in concentration-response parameters from a variety of HTS assays. Using the ToxCast estrogen receptor model for bioactivity as a case study, we highlight how these uncertainties can be propagated through models to quantify the uncertainty in model outputs. Uncertainty quantification in model outputs is used to identify potential false positives and false negatives and to determine the distribution of model values around semi-arbitrary activity cutoffs, increasing confidence in model predictions. At the individual chemical-assay level, curves with high variability are flagged for manual inspection or retesting, focusing subject-matter-expert time on results that need further input. This work improves the confidence of predictions made using HTS data, increasing the ability to use this data in risk assessment.

Indexed as

Environmental MonitoringHigh-Throughput Screening AssaysUnited States Environmental Protection AgencyComputer SimulationEnvironmental PollutantsHumansRisk AssessmentUnited StatesEnvironmental Pollutants

Identifiers

PMID30044784
PMCPMC6059398

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.