Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30035217›Full record

ArticleScience advances2018

Impaired recovery of the Great Barrier Reef under cumulative stress.

Juan-Carlos Ortiz, Nicholas H Wolff, Kenneth R N Anthony, Michelle Devlin, Stephen Lewis, Peter J Mumby

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Early Warning Signals in Ecological Time-Series.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Untapped policy avenues to protect coral reef ecosystems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Risks to biodiversity from temperature overshoot pathways.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Juan-Carlos OrtizMarine Spatial Ecology Lab, School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6179-7848
Nicholas H WolffMarine Spatial Ecology Lab, School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1162-3556
Kenneth R N AnthonyAustralian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia.
Michelle DevlinCentre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft NR33 0HT, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2194-2534
Stephen LewisCatchment to Reef Research Group, Centre for Tropical Water and Aquatic Ecosystem Research, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland 4811, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6929-6626
Peter J MumbyMarine Spatial Ecology Lab, School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6297-9053

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Corals of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) have declined over the past 30 years. While reef state depends on the balance between disturbance and recovery, most studies have focused on the effects of disturbance on reef decline. We show that coral recovery rates across the GBR declined by an average of 84% between 1992 and 2010. Recovery was variable: Some key coral types had close to zero recovery by the end of that period, whereas some reefs exhibited high recovery. Our results indicate that coral recovery is sensitive to chronic but manageable pressures, and is suppressed for several years following acute disturbances. Loss of recovery capacity was partly explained by the cumulative effects of chronic pressures including water quality, warming, and sublethal effects of acute disturbances (cyclones, outbreaks of crown-of-thorns starfish, and coral bleaching). Modeled projections indicate that recovery rates can respond rapidly to reductions in acute and chronic stressors, a result that is consistent with fast recovery observed on some reefs in the central and southern GBR since the end of the study period. A combination of local management actions to reduce chronic disturbances and global action to limit the effect of climate change is urgently required to sustain GBR coral cover and diversity.

Indexed as

Coral ReefsAnimalsAnthozoaAustraliaClimate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesOceans and SeasWater Quality

Identifiers

PMID30035217
PMCPMC6051737

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.