Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30021924›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2018

Greater wealth inequality, less polygyny: rethinking the polygyny threshold model.

Cody T Ross, Monique Borgerhoff Mulder, Seung-Yun Oh, Samuel Bowles, Bret Beheim, John Bunce, Mark Caudell, Gregory Clark, Heidi Colleran, Carmen Cortez and 24 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
13.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 67 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Accounting for uncertainty and bias in archaeological and historical evidence on wealth inequality.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Competition for heritable wealth, not cultural group selection, drives the evolution of monogamy.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  4. High rates of polygyny do not lock large proportions of men out of the marriage market.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Little evidence that nonmonogamous family structures are detrimental to children's well-being in Mpimbwe, Tanzania.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  9. Half a century of quantitative cultural evolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  10. Forward and backward modeling of cultural evolutionary processes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Reproductive inequality in humans and other mammals.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  15. How subcultures emerge.Evolutionary human sciences · 2023
    Article
  16. Review
  17. The uses and abuses of tree thinking in cultural evolution.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

34 authors at 20 institutions in 4 countries.

Cody T RossBehavioral Sciences Program, Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USA cody_ross@eva.mpg.de.ORCID 0000-0002-0067-4799
Monique Borgerhoff MulderDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1117-5984
Seung-Yun OhKorea Insurance Research Institute, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Republic of Korea.
Samuel BowlesBehavioral Sciences Program, Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USA.
Bret BeheimDepartment of Human Behavior, Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig, Germany.
John BunceDepartment of Human Behavior, Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig, Germany.
Mark CaudellAllen School for Global Animal Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
Gregory ClarkDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Heidi ColleranDept. of Linguistic and Cultural Evolution, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, Leipzig, Germany.
Carmen CortezDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Patricia DraperDepartment of Anthropology, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE, USA.
Russell D GreavesDepartment of Anthropology, University of Utah, Logan, UT, USA.
Michael GurvenDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.
Thomas HeadlandSIL International, Dallas, TX, USA.
Janet HeadlandSIL International, Dallas, TX, USA.
Kim HillSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Barry HewlettDepartment of Anthropology, Washington State University, Vancouver, WA, USA.
Hillard S KaplanDepartment of Anthropology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USA.
Jeremy KosterDepartment of Anthropology, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Karen KramerDepartment of Anthropology, University of Utah, Logan, UT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9157-7758
Frank MarloweDepartment of Biological Anthropology, University of Cambridge, UK.
Richard McElreathDepartment of Human Behavior, Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig, Germany.
David NolinDepartment of Anthropology, Pennsylvania State University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Marsha QuinlanDepartment of Anthropology, Washington State University, Vancouver, WA, USA.
Robert QuinlanDepartment of Anthropology, Washington State University, Vancouver, WA, USA.
Caissa Revilla-MinayaDepartment of Anthropology, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Brooke ScelzaDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Ryan SchachtDepartment of Anthropology, University of Utah, Logan, UT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4606-7345
Mary ShenkDepartment of Anthropology, Pennsylvania State University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Ray UeharaSIL International, Dallas, TX, USA.
Eckart VolandInstitut für Philosophie der Universität Giessen, Giessen, Germany.
Kai WillführCarl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany.
Bruce WinterhalderDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
John ZikerDepartment of Anthropology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA.
University of California, Davis · USMax Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology · DESIL International · USUtah State University · USWashington State University Vancouver · USPennsylvania State University · USSanta Fe Institute · USArizona State University · USBoise State University · USCarl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg · DEMax Planck Institute for the Science of Human History · DENational Health Insurance Service · KRUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of California, Santa Barbara · USUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Cincinnati · USUniversity of Nebraska–Lincoln · USUniversity of New Mexico · USVanderbilt University · USWashington State University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Monogamy appears to have become the predominant human mating system with the emergence of highly unequal agricultural populations that replaced relatively egalitarian horticultural populations, challenging the conventional idea-based on the polygyny threshold model-that polygyny should be positively associated with wealth inequality. To address this polygyny paradox, we generalize the standard polygyny threshold model to a mutual mate choice model predicting the fraction of women married polygynously. We then demonstrate two conditions that are jointly sufficient to make monogamy the predominant marriage form, even in highly unequal societies. We assess if these conditions are satisfied using individual-level data from 29 human populations. Our analysis shows that with the shift to stratified agricultural economies: (i) the population frequency of relatively poor individuals increased, increasing wealth inequality, but decreasing the frequency of individuals with sufficient wealth to secure polygynous marriage, and (ii) diminishing marginal fitness returns to additional wives prevent extremely wealthy men from obtaining as many wives as their relative wealth would otherwise predict. These conditions jointly lead to a high population-level frequency of monogamy.

Indexed as

MarriageModels, TheoreticalSocioeconomic FactorsFemaleHumansMalebehavioural ecologyevolutionary anthropologymarriage systemsmonogamypolygynywealth inequality

Identifiers

PMID30021924
PMCPMC6073648
OpenAlexW2883071055

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.