Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30021205›Full record

ArticleFetal diagnosis and therapy2019

External Validation and Clinical Usefulness of First Trimester Prediction Models for the Risk of Preeclampsia: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Linda J E Meertens, Hubertina C J Scheepers, Sander M J van Kuijk, Robert Aardenburg, Ivo M A van Dooren, Josje Langenveld, Annemieke M van Wijck, Iris Zwaan, Marc E A Spaanderman, Luc J M Smits

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Fetal diagnosis and therapy, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
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  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Preventing Stillbirth: A Review of Screening and Prevention Strategies.Maternal-fetal medicine (Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.) · 2022
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  14. Implementing a Preeclampsia Prediction Model in Obstetrics: Cutoff Determination and Health Care Professionals' Adherence.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2020
    Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Linda J E MeertensDepartment of Epidemiology, Care and Public Health Research Institute (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands, linda.meertens@maastrichtuniversity.nl.
Hubertina C J ScheepersDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, School for Oncology and Developmental Biology (GROW), Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Sander M J van KuijkDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Medical Technology Assessment (KEMTA), Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Robert AardenburgDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, The Netherlands.
Ivo M A van DoorenDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Sint Jans Gasthuis Weert, Weert, The Netherlands.
Josje LangenveldDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, The Netherlands.
Annemieke M van WijckDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, VieCuri Medical Center, Venlo, The Netherlands.
Iris ZwaanDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Laurentius Hospital, Roermond, The Netherlands.
Marc E A SpaandermanDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, School for Oncology and Developmental Biology (GROW), Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Luc J M SmitsDepartment of Epidemiology, Care and Public Health Research Institute (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThis study assessed the external validity of all published first trimester prediction models for the risk of preeclampsia (PE) based on routinely collected maternal predictors. Moreover, the potential utility of the best-performing models in clinical practice was evaluated. MATERIAL AND

methodsTen prediction models were systematically selected from the literature. We performed a multicenter prospective cohort study in the Netherlands between July 1, 2013, and December 31, 2015. Eligible pregnant women completed a web-based questionnaire before 16 weeks' gestation. The outcome PE was established using postpartum questionnaires and medical records. Predictive performance of each model was assessed by means of discrimination (c-statistic) and a calibration plot. Clinical usefulness was evaluated by means of decision curve analysis and by calculating the potential impact at different risk thresholds.

resultsThe validation cohort contained 2,614 women of whom 76 developed PE (2.9%). Five models showed moderate discriminative performance with c-statistics ranging from 0.73 to 0.77. Adequate calibration was obtained after refitting. The best models were clinically useful over a small range of predicted probabilities. DISCUSSION: Five of the ten included first trimester prediction models for PE showed moderate predictive performance. The best models may provide more benefit compared to risk selection as used in current guidelines.

Indexed as

Cohort StudiesFemaleHealth Status IndicatorsHumansModels, StatisticalPre-EclampsiaPregnancyPregnancy Trimester, FirstClinical usefulnessDecision curve analysisExternal validationFirst trimesterPrediction modelPreeclampsiaRisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID30021205
PMCPMC6604271

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.