Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30018195›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2018

Waterborne Disease Outbreak Detection: A Simulation-Based Study.

Damien Mouly, Sarah Goria, Michael Mounié, Pascal Beaudeau, Catherine Galey, Anne Gallay, Christian Ducrot, Yann Le Strat

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Implementation of a national waterborne disease outbreak surveillance system: overview and preliminary results, France, 2010 to 2019.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2021
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Drinking Water Quality and Human Health: An Editorial.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Damien MoulySanté Publique France, the French National Public Health Agency, 94 410 Saint-Maurice, France. damien.mouly@santepubliquefrance.fr.
Sarah GoriaSanté Publique France, the French National Public Health Agency, 94 410 Saint-Maurice, France. sarah.goria@santepubliquefrance.fr.
Michael MouniéUnité D'évaluation Médico-Economique, Université Paul Sabatier, CHU 31059 Toulouse, France. mounie.michael.12@gmail.com.
Pascal BeaudeauSanté Publique France, the French National Public Health Agency, 94 410 Saint-Maurice, France. pascal.beaudeau@santepubliquefrance.fr.
Catherine GaleySanté Publique France, the French National Public Health Agency, 94 410 Saint-Maurice, France. catherine.galey@santepubliquefrance.fr.
Anne GallaySanté Publique France, the French National Public Health Agency, 94 410 Saint-Maurice, France. anne.gallay@santepubliquefrance.fr.
Christian DucrotInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique, UR346-Unité d'Épidémiologie Animale, 63 122 Saint Genès Champanelle, France. christian.ducrot@inra.fr.
Yann Le StratSanté Publique France, the French National Public Health Agency, 94 410 Saint-Maurice, France. yann.lestrat@santepubliquefrance.fr.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Waterborne disease outbreaks (WBDOs) remain a public health issue in developed countries, but to date the surveillance of WBDOs in France, mainly based on the voluntary reporting of clusters of acute gastrointestinal infections (AGIs) by general practitioners to health authorities, is characterized by low sensitivity. In this context, a detection algorithm using health insurance data and based on a space⁻time method was developed to improve WBDO detection. The objective of the present simulation-based study was to evaluate the performance of this algorithm for WBDO detection using health insurance data. The daily baseline counts of acute gastrointestinal infections were simulated. Two thousand simulated WBDO signals were then superimposed on the baseline data. Sensitivity (Se) and positive predictive value (PPV) were both used to evaluate the detection algorithm. Multivariate regression was also performed to identify the factors associated with WBDO detection. Almost three-quarters of the simulated WBDOs were detected (Se = 73.0%). More than 9 out of 10 detected signals corresponded to a WBDO (PPV = 90.5%). The probability of detecting a WBDO increased with the outbreak size. These results underline the value of using the detection algorithm for the implementation of a national surveillance system for WBDOs in France.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationDisease OutbreaksFranceGastrointestinal DiseasesHumansPopulation SurveillanceWaterborne Diseaseshealth insurance datasimulation studyspace–time detectionwaterborne disease outbreak

Identifiers

PMID30018195
PMCPMC6068474

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.