Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30016993›Full record

ArticleParasites & vectors2018

Carry-over effects of urban larval environments on the transmission potential of dengue-2 virus.

Michelle V Evans, Justine C Shiau, Nicole Solano, Melinda A Brindley, John M Drake, Courtney C Murdock

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Parasites & vectors, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Morphological and Genetic Heterogeneity inEcology and evolution · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Thermal adaptation inProceedings. Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Effects of changes in temperature on Zika dynamics and control.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Microclimate and Larval Habitat Density Predict AdultThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Michelle V EvansOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA. mvevans@uga.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5628-0502
Justine C ShiauDepartment of Infectious Disease, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Nicole SolanoOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Melinda A BrindleyDepartment of Infectious Disease, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
John M DrakeOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Courtney C MurdockOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation 1156707National Science Foundation Graduate Research FellowshipUniversity of Georgia Presidential Fellowhips
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMosquitoes are strongly influenced by environmental temperatures, both directly and indirectly via carry-over effects, a phenomenon by which adult phenotypes are shaped indirectly by the environmental conditions experienced in previous life stages. In landscapes with spatially varying microclimates, such as a city, the effects of environmental temperature can therefore lead to spatial patterns in disease dynamics. To explore the contribution of carry-over effects on the transmission of dengue-2 virus (DENV-2), we conducted a semi-field experiment comparing the demographic and transmission rates of Aedes albopictus reared on different urban land classes in the summer and autumn season. We parameterized a model of vectorial capacity using field- and literature-derived measurements to estimate the bias introduced into predictions of vectorial capacity not accounting for carry-over effects.

resultsThe larval environment of different land classes and seasons significantly impacted mosquito life history traits. Larval development and survival rates were higher in the summer than the autumn, with no difference across land class. The effect of land class on adult body size differed across season, with suburban mosquitoes having the smallest wing length in the summer and the largest wing length in the autumn, when compared to other land classes. Infection and dissemination rates were higher in the autumn and on suburban and rural land classes compared to urban. Infectiousness did not differ across land class or season. We estimate that not accounting for carry-over effects can underestimate disease transmission potential in suburban and urban sites in the summer by up to 25%.

conclusionsOur findings demonstrate the potential of the larval environment to differentially impact stages of DENV-2 infection in Ae. albopictus mosquitoes via carry-over effects. Failure to account for carry-over effects of the larval environment in mechanistic models can lead to biased estimates of disease transmission potential at fine-scales in urban environments.

Indexed as

AedesAnimalsCitiesDengueDengue VirusHumansLarvaMosquito VectorsAedes albopictusCarry-over effectsDengueUrban microclimate

Identifiers

PMID30016993
PMCPMC6050736

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.