Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30015707›Full record

SynthesisPain2018

Neuropathic pain clinical trials: factors associated with decreases in estimated drug efficacy.

Nanna B Finnerup, Simon Haroutounian, Ralf Baron, Robert H Dworkin, Ian Gilron, Maija Haanpaa, Troels S Jensen, Peter R Kamerman, Ewan McNicol, Andrew Moore and 6 more

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisReview
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Pain, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 67 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
67citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

67 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  11. Glial cells in neuropathic pain.Physiological reviews · 2026
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7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Nanna B FinnerupDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Danish Pain Research Center, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Simon HaroutounianDivision of Clinical and Translational Research, Department of Anesthesiology, Pain Center, Washington University in St. Louis School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, United States.
Ralf BaronDivision of Neurological Pain Research and Therapy, Department of Neurology, Universitätsklinikum Schleswig-Holstein, Campus Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Robert H DworkinDepartments of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine.
Ian GilronDepartment of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Queen's University and Kingston General Hospital, Kingston, ON, Canada.
Maija HaanpaaIlmarinen Mutual Insurance Company, Helsinki, Finland.
Troels S JensenDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Danish Pain Research Center, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Peter R KamermanBrain Function Research Group, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Ewan McNicolDepartments of Pharmacy and.
Andrew MooreNuffield Division of Anaesthetics, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Pain Research, University of Oxford, The Churchill, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Srinivasa N RajaDivision of Pain Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Niels T AndersenNT Section for Biostatistics, Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Emily S SenaCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Blair H SmithDivision of Population Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, Scotland.
Andrew S C RicePain Research, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Nadine AttalINSERM U-987, Centre d'Evaluation et de Traitement de la Douleur, Hôpital Ambroise Paré, Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris, Boulogne-Billancourt, France.

Funding

INJURY-INDUCES PAIN-- CHEMICAL MODULATION OF NOCICEPTORSR01NS026363 · NINDS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI RAJA, SRINIVASA N. · 1989 to 2021
$6.8M
NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS026363
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multiple recent pharmacological clinical trials in neuropathic pain have failed to show beneficial effect of drugs with previously demonstrated efficacy, and estimates of drug efficacy seems to have decreased with accumulation of newer trials. However, this has not been systematically assessed. Here, we analyze time-dependent changes in estimated treatment effect size in pharmacological trials together with factors that may contribute to decreases in estimated effect size. This study is a secondary analysis of data from a previous published NeuPSIG systematic review and meta-analysis, updated to include studies published up till March 2017. We included double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trials examining the effect of drugs for which we had made strong or weak recommendations for use in neuropathic pain in the previously published review. As the primary outcome, we used an aggregated number needed to treat for 50% pain reduction (alternatively 30% pain reduction or moderate pain relief). Analyses involved 128 trials. Number needed to treat values increased from around 2 to 4 in trials published between 1982 and 1999 to much higher (less effective) values in studies published from 2010 onwards. Several factors that changed over time, such as larger study size, longer study duration, and more studies reporting 50% or 30% pain reduction, correlated with the decrease in estimated drug effect sizes. This suggests that issues related to the design, outcomes, and reporting have contributed to changes in the estimation of treatment effects. These factors are important to consider in design and interpretation of individual study data and in systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

Indexed as

AnalgesicsFemaleHumansMaleNeuralgiaPubMedRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRetrospective StudiesAnalgesics

Identifiers

PMID30015707
PMCPMC6193835

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.