Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30010850›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2018

Growth of HIV-1 Molecular Transmission Clusters in New York City.

Joel O Wertheim, Ben Murrell, Sanjay R Mehta, Lisa A Forgione, Sergei L Kosakovsky Pond, Davey M Smith, Lucia V Torian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 59 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. HIV Transmission Dynamics in Greater Mexico City are Shaped by Dense Spatial Mixing.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Joel O WertheimDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego.
Ben MurrellDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego.
Sanjay R MehtaDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego.
Lisa A ForgioneNew York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York.
Sergei L Kosakovsky PondDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego.
Davey M SmithDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego.
Lucia V TorianNew York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York.

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SUSAN JANET LITTLE · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Molecular Epidemiology for HIV Prevention for Drug Users and Other Risk Groups DP1DA034978 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SMITH, DAVID MITCHELL · 2012 to 2016
$4.1M
Automation and Evaluation of Real-Time Transmission Network-Based HIV Prevention Services in New York CityR01AI135992 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI WERTHEIM, JOEL OKRENT · 2018 to 2022
$3.6M
Efficacy of ART to Interrupt HIV Transmission NetworksR01MH100974 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2014 to 2018
$3.2M
HIV case finding and genetic transmission networks among MSM in Tijuana, MexicoR01DA037811 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI PATTERSON, THOMAS L. · 2014 to 2018
$3.2M
Modeling Epidemic Infectious Diseases Using Sequence AnalysisU01GM110749 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI POND, SERGEI L KOSAKOVSKY · 2014 to 2018
$3.0M
Public Health Implications of HIV Transmission NetworksK01AI110181 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI WERTHEIM, JOEL OKRENT · 2014 to 2018
$668k
Viral sequence and dynamic determinants of antibody breadthR00AI120851 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MURRELL, BENJAMIN SYLVESTER · 2016 to 2017
$493k
Viral sequence and dynamic determinants of antibody breadthK99AI120851 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MURRELL, BENJAMIN SYLVESTER · 2015 to 2015
$124k
NIAID NIH HHS K99 AI120851NIAID NIH HHS R00 AI120851NIDA NIH HHS DP1 DA034978NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037811NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM110749NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH100974
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: HIV-1 genetic sequences can be used to infer viral transmission history and dynamics. Throughout the United States, HIV-1 sequences from drug resistance testing are reported to local public health departments. Methods: We investigated whether inferred HIV transmission network dynamics can identify individuals and clusters of individuals most likely to give rise to future HIV cases in a surveillance setting. We used HIV-TRACE, a genetic distance-based clustering tool, to infer molecular transmission clusters from HIV-1 pro/RT sequences from 65736 people in the New York City surveillance registry. Logistic and LASSO regression analyses were used to identify correlates of clustering and cluster growth, respectively. We performed retrospective transmission network analyses to evaluate individual- and cluster-level prioritization schemes for identifying parts of the network most likely to give rise to new cases in the subsequent year. Results: Individual-level prioritization schemes predicted network growth better than random targeting. Across the 3600 inferred molecular transmission clusters, previous growth dynamics were superior predictors of future transmission cluster growth compared to individual-level prediction schemes. Cluster-level prioritization schemes considering previous cluster growth relative to cluster size further improved network growth predictions. Conclusions: Prevention efforts based on HIV molecular epidemiology may improve public health outcomes in a US surveillance setting.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultCluster AnalysisFemaleHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedMolecular EpidemiologyNew York CityPopulation SurveillanceSensitivity and SpecificityYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID30010850
PMCPMC6217720

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.