Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30007575›Full record

ReviewBiological psychiatry2018

The Predictive Coding Account of Psychosis.

Philipp Sterzer, Rick A Adams, Paul Fletcher, Chris Frith, Stephen M Lawrie, Lars Muckli, Predrag Petrovic, Peter Uhlhaas, Martin Voss, Philip R Corlett

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Biological psychiatry, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 379 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
379citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

379 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Ketamine reduces the neural distinction between self- and other-produced affective touch: a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled study.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2024
    Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Environmental Exposures and Computational Mechanisms in Psychosis Risk: Insights from a Multi-Site Cohort.Clinical psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2026
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Polygenic risk meets early trauma: toward a neuropsychodevelopmental model of schizophrenia.Journal of neural transmission (Vienna, Austria : 1996) · 2026
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

319 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Philipp SterzerDepartment of Psychiatry, Campus Charité Mitte, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Rick A AdamsDivision of Psychiatry, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Paul FletcherDepartment of Psychiatry, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Wellcome-MRC Behavioral and Clinical Neuroscience Institute, Cambridge and Peterborough Foundation Trust, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Chris FrithWellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Stephen M LawrieCenter for Clinical and Brain Sciences, Division of Psychiatry, Royal Edinburgh Hospital, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Lars MuckliCentre for Cognitive Neuroimaging, Institute of Neuroscience & Psychology, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Predrag PetrovicDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Peter UhlhaasCentre for Cognitive Neuroimaging, Institute of Neuroscience & Psychology, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Martin VossDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Charité University Medicine and St. Hedwig Hospital, Berlin Center for Advanced Neuroimaging, Humboldt University Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Philip R CorlettDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut. Electronic address: philip.corlett@yale.edu.

Funding

Yale University Clinical and Translational Science Award ProgramUL1TR000142 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SHERWIN, ROBERT S · 2012 to 2015
$31.8M
Predictive Coding as a Framework for Understanding PsychosisR01MH112887 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI CORLETT, PHILIP, GOLD, JAMES M. · 2018 to 2022
$3.6M
Pathophysiology of Auditory HallucinationsR01MH067073 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CORLETT, PHILIP · 2003 to 2015
$3.0M
Medical Research Council MR/N003403/1NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000142NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH067073NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH112887Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust WT095692MA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fueled by developments in computational neuroscience, there has been increasing interest in the underlying neurocomputational mechanisms of psychosis. One successful approach involves predictive coding and Bayesian inference. Here, inferences regarding the current state of the world are made by combining prior beliefs with incoming sensory signals. Mismatches between prior beliefs and incoming signals constitute prediction errors that drive new learning. Psychosis has been suggested to result from a decreased precision in the encoding of prior beliefs relative to the sensory data, thereby garnering maladaptive inferences. Here, we review the current evidence for aberrant predictive coding and discuss challenges for this canonical predictive coding account of psychosis. For example, hallucinations and delusions may relate to distinct alterations in predictive coding, despite their common co-occurrence. More broadly, some studies implicate weakened prior beliefs in psychosis, and others find stronger priors. These challenges might be answered with a more nuanced view of predictive coding. Different priors may be specified for different sensory modalities and their integration, and deficits in each modality need not be uniform. Furthermore, hierarchical organization may be critical. Altered processes at lower levels of a hierarchy need not be linearly related to processes at higher levels (and vice versa). Finally, canonical theories do not highlight active inference-the process through which the effects of our actions on our sensations are anticipated and minimized. It is possible that conflicting findings might be reconciled by considering these complexities, portending a framework for psychosis more equipped to deal with its many manifestations.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremDelusionsHallucinationsHumansPsychotic DisordersBayesian brainCognitionDelusionsHallucinationsLearningPerceptionPredictive codingSchizophrenia

Identifiers

PMID30007575
PMCPMC6169400

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.