Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30006790›Full record

ArticleAIDS and behavior2019

Who Will Show? Predicting Missed Visits Among Patients in Routine HIV Primary Care in the United States.

Brian W Pence, Angela M Bengtson, Stephen Boswell, Katerina A Christopoulos, Heidi M Crane, Elvin Geng, Jeanne C Keruly, W Christopher Mathews, Michael J Mugavero

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS and behavior, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Retention in HIV Care Still Matters: A Longitudinal Multisite Analysis.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
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  7. Article
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  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Exploring the Feasibility of an Electronic Tool for Predicting Retention in HIV Care: Provider Perspectives.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. The Brief Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Index: A Rapid 3-Item Scale to Measure Engagement in HIV Care.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Brian W PenceDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 2101 McGavran-Greenberg Hall, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA. bpence@unc.edu.
Angela M BengtsonDepartment of Epidemiology, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Stephen BoswellFenway Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Katerina A ChristopoulosDivision of HIV, ID and Global Medicine, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Heidi M CraneDepartment of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Elvin GengDivision of HIV, ID and Global Medicine, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Jeanne C KerulyDepartment of Medicine, School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
W Christopher MathewsDepartment of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Michael J MugaveroDepartment of Medicine and UAB Center for AIDS Research, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.

Funding

Unsolicited R24 for the CFAR-Network of Integrated Clinical Sciences, CNICSR24AI067039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Michael S. Saag · 2006 to 2026
$99.4M
Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
The Causal Effect of Effective Depression Treatment on HIV Outcomes in CNICSR01MH100970 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PENCE, BRIAN W · 2013 to 2015
$1.3M
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases P30AI50410National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases R24AI067039National Institute of Mental Health R01MH100970NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI067039NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH100970
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Missed HIV medical visits predict poor clinical outcomes. We sought to identify patients at high risk of missing visits. We analyzed 2002-2014 data from six large US HIV clinics. At each visit, we predicted the likelihood of missing the next scheduled visit using demographic, clinical, and patient-reported psychosocial variables. Overall, 10,374 participants contributed 105,628 HIV visits. For 17% of visits, the next scheduled appointment was missed. The strongest predictor of a future missed visit was past-year missed visits. A model with only this predictor had area under the receiver operator curve = 0.65; defining "high risk" as those with any past-year missed visits had 73% sensitivity and 51% specificity in correctly identifying a future missed visit. Inclusion of other clinical and psychosocial predictors only slightly improved performance. Past visit attendance can identify those at increased risk for future missed visits, allowing for proactive allocation of resources to those at greatest risk.

Indexed as

AdultAppointments and SchedulesFemaleForecastingHealth BehaviorHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedOffice VisitsPatient Acceptance of Health CarePatient CompliancePrimary Health CareUnited StatesYoung AdultAppointment attendanceHIVMissed visitsPredictive modelsRetention in care

Identifiers

PMID30006790
PMCPMC6330260

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.