Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30005310›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2018

Risks of fatal opioid overdose during the first year following nonfatal overdose.

Mark Olfson, Melanie Wall, Shuai Wang, Stephen Crystal, Carlos Blanco

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 74 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
74citing papers in PubMed
14.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

74 citing papers in PubMed, 128 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Nonfatal Drug Overdose in a National Sample of Adolescents by Intent and Substance, Medicaid 2016-2020.Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Developing Longitudinal Post-Overdose Care: A Call to Action.Journal of medical toxicology : official journal of the American College of Medical Toxicology · 2026
    Article
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  11. A chain of survival for drug overdose.Resuscitation plus · 2025
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14 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Mark OlfsonDepartment of Psychiatry, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University and the New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, USA. Electronic address: mo49@cumc.columbia.edu.
Melanie WallDepartment of Psychiatry, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University and the New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, USA.
Shuai WangDepartment of Psychiatry, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University and the New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, USA.
Stephen CrystalCenter for Health Services Research, Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
Carlos BlancoNational Institute on Drug Abuse, Division of Epidemiology, Services, and Prevention Research, Rockville, MD, USA.
Columbia University · USNational Institute on Drug Abuse · USNew York State Psychiatric InstituteRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · US

Funding

Center for Education and Research on Mental Health TherapeuticsU19HS021112 · AHRQ · RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIV OF N.J. · PI CRYSTAL, STEPHEN · 2011 to 2015
$3.9M
SMINET: Applying Evidence to Improve Care and Outcomes in Severe Mental IllnessR18HS023258 · AHRQ · RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIV OF N.J. · PI CRYSTAL, STEPHEN · 2014 to 2017
$3.7M
Towards a Comprehensive Developmental Model of Substance Use DisordersR01DA019606 · NIDA · NEW YORK STATE PSYCHIATRIC INSTITUTE DBA RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR MENTAL HYGIENE, INC · PI OLFSON, MARK · 2006 to 2016
$2.6M
AHRQ HHS R18 HS023258AHRQ HHS U19 HS021112NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA019606
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLittle is known about risk factors for repeated opioid overdose and fatal opioid overdose in the first year following nonfatal opioid overdose.

methodsWe identified a national retrospective longitudinal cohort of patients aged 18-64 years in the Medicaid program who received a clinical diagnosis of nonfatal opioid overdose. Repeated overdoses and fatal opioid overdoses were measured with the Medicaid record and the National Death Index. Rates of repeat overdose per 1000 person-years and fatal overdose per 100,000 person-years were determined. Hazard ratios of repeated opioid overdose and fatal opioid overdose were estimated by Cox proportional hazards.

resultsNearly two-thirds (64.8%) of the patients with nonfatal overdoses (total n = 75,556) had filled opioid prescriptions in the 180 days before initial overdose. During the 12 months after nonfatal overdose, the rate of repeat overdose was 295.0 per 1000 person-years and that of fatal opioid overdose was 1154 per 100,000 person-years. After controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and region, the hazard of fatal opioid overdose was increased for patients who had filled a benzodiazepine prescription in the 180 days prior to their initial overdose (HR = 1.71, 95%CI: 1.46-1.99), whose initial overdose involved heroin (HR = 1.57, 95%CI:1.30-1.89), or who required mechanical ventilation at the initial overdose (HR = 1.86, 95%CI = 1.50-2.31).

conclusionsAdults treated for opioid overdose frequently have repeated opioid overdoses in the following year. They are also at high risk of fatal opioid overdose throughout this period, which underscores the importance of efforts to engage and maintain patients in evidence-based opioid treatments following nonfatal overdose.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAnalgesics, OpioidCohort StudiesDrug OverdoseFemaleHeroinHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited StatesYoung AdultAnalgesics, OpioidHeroinOpioid overdoseOpioid-related mortalityRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID30005310
PMCPMC10398609
OpenAlexW2811399045

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.