Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29997251›Full record

ArticleScience translational medicine2018

Modeling of patient virus titers suggests that availability of a vaccine could reduce hepatitis C virus transmission among injecting drug users.

Marian Major, Alexander Gutfraind, Louis Shekhtman, Qingwen Cui, Alla Kachko, Scott J Cotler, Behzad Hajarizadeh, Rachel Sacks-Davis, Kimberly Page, Basmattee Boodram and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science translational medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Controlled Human Infection Model - Fast Track to HCV Vaccine?The New England journal of medicine · 2021
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Challenges and Promise of a Hepatitis C Virus Vaccine.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2020
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Marian MajorDivision of Viral Products, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA. marian.major@fda.hhs.gov hdahari@luc.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-0874-359X
Alexander GutfraindProgram for Experimental and Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Loyola University Chicago, Maywood, IL 60153, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3324-2220
Louis ShekhtmanProgram for Experimental and Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Loyola University Chicago, Maywood, IL 60153, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5273-8363
Qingwen CuiDivision of Viral Products, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA.
Alla KachkoDivision of Viral Products, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1366-1900
Scott J CotlerProgram for Experimental and Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Loyola University Chicago, Maywood, IL 60153, USA.
Behzad HajarizadehThe Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales 2052, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-2212-2028
Rachel Sacks-DavisDisease Elimination Program, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia.
Kimberly PageDivision of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Preventive Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7120-1673
Basmattee BoodramEpidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Harel DahariProgram for Experimental and Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Loyola University Chicago, Maywood, IL 60153, USA. marian.major@fda.hhs.gov hdahari@luc.edu.

Funding

Acute Hepatitis C Infection in Young InjectorsR01DA016017 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI PAGE, KIMBERLY · 2002 to 2018
$14.0M
Collaborative Integration of HCV Molecular Virology and Mathematical ModelingR01AI078881 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI PERELSON, ALAN S, UPRICHARD, SUSAN L. · 2011 to 2025
$7.5M
Contextual risk factors for hepatitis C among young persons who inject drugsR01DA043484 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI BOODRAM, BASMATTEE · 2017 to 2021
$2.9M
Computational discovery of effective hepatitis C intervention strategiesR01GM121600 · NIGMS · LOYOLA UNIVERSITY CHICAGO · PI BOODRAM, BASMATTEE, DAHARI, HAREL · 2017 to 2021
$2.0M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI078881NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016017NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA043484NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM121600
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The major route of hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission in the United States is injection drug use. We hypothesized that if an HCV vaccine were available, vaccination could affect HCV transmission among people who inject drugs by reducing HCV titers after viral exposure without necessarily achieving sterilizing immunity. To investigate this possibility, we developed a mathematical model to determine transmission probabilities relative to the HCV RNA titers of needle/syringe-sharing donors. We simulated sharing of two types of syringes fitted with needles that retain either large or small amounts of fluid after expulsion. Using previously published viral kinetics data from both naïve subjects infected with HCV and reinfected individuals who had previously cleared an HCV infection, we estimated transmission risk between pairs of serodiscordant injecting drug users, accounting for syringe type, rinsing, and sharing frequency. We calculated that the risk of HCV transmission through syringe sharing increased ~10-fold as viral titers (log

Indexed as

Cells, CulturedHepacivirusHepatitis CHumansKineticsNeedlesProbabilityRisk FactorsRNA, ViralSubstance Abuse, IntravenousViral Hepatitis VaccinesViral LoadRNA, ViralViral Hepatitis Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID29997251
PMCPMC6552668

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.