Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29988820›Full record

ArticleEJVES short reports2018

Applied Machine Learning for the Prediction of Growth of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in Humans.

R Lee, D Jarchi, R Perera, A Jones, I Cassimjee, A Handa, D A Clifton, Oxford Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Study and, Oxford Regional Vascular Service

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EJVES short reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  14. Article
  15. Machine learning model predicts the occurrence of acute kidney injury after open surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.Zhong nan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Central South University. Medical sciences · 2023
    Article
  16. A machine learning model for non-invasive detection of atherosclerotic coronary artery aneurysm.International journal of computer assisted radiology and surgery · 2022
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Perceptions of Canadian vascular surgeons toward artificial intelligence and machine learning.Journal of vascular surgery cases and innovative techniques · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

R LeeNuffield Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
D JarchiDepartment of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
R PereraNuffield Department of Primary Care Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
A JonesNuffield Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
I CassimjeeNuffield Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
A HandaNuffield Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
D A CliftonNuffield Department of Primary Care Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Oxford Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Study and
Oxford Regional Vascular Service

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAccurate prediction of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) growth in an individual can allow personalised stratification of surveillance intervals and better inform the timing for surgery. The authors recently described the novel significant association between flow mediated dilatation (FMD) and future AAA growth. The feasibility of predicting future AAA growth was explored in individual patients using a set of benchmark machine learning techniques.

methodsThe Oxford Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Study (OxAAA) prospectively recruited AAA patients undergoing the routine NHS management pathway. In addition to the AAA diameter, FMD was systemically measured in these patients. A benchmark machine learning technique (non-linear Kernel support vector regression) was applied to predict future AAA growth in

resultsProspective growth data were recorded at 12 months (360 ± 49 days) in 94 patients. Of these, growth data were further recorded at 24 months (718 ± 81 days) in 79 patients. The average growth in AAA diameter was 3.4% at 12 months, and 2.8% per year at 24 months. The algorithm predicted the individual's AAA diameter to within 2 mm error in 85% and 71% of patients at 12 and 24 months.

conclusionsThe data highlight the utility of FMD as a biomarker for AAA and the value of machine learning techniques for AAA research in the new era of precision medicine.

Indexed as

Abdominal aortic aneurysmAneurysm progressionBiomarkerFlow mediated dilatationMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID29988820
PMCPMC6033055

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.