Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29987912›Full record

ArticleThe Prostate2018

Undetectable prostate-specific antigen after short-course androgen deprivation therapy for biochemically recurrent patients correlates with metastasis-free survival and prostate cancer-specific survival.

Daniel M Lim, Roman Gulati, Serge Aleshin-Guendel, Agnes Gawne, Jonathan T Wingate, Heather H Cheng, Ruth Etzioni, Evan Y Yu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Prostate, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Daniel M LimDepartment of Medicine, Division of Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle Cancer Care Alliance, Seattle, Washington.
Roman GulatiBiostatistics and Biomathematics, Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Serge Aleshin-GuendelBiostatistics and Biomathematics, Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Agnes GawneDepartment of Medicine, Division of Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle Cancer Care Alliance, Seattle, Washington.
Jonathan T WingateBiostatistics and Biomathematics, Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Heather H ChengDepartment of Medicine, Division of Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle Cancer Care Alliance, Seattle, Washington.
Ruth EtzioniBiostatistics and Biomathematics, Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Evan Y YuDepartment of Medicine, Division of Oncology, University of Washington, Seattle Cancer Care Alliance, Seattle, Washington.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1510-8044

Funding

TRANSCRIPTOME AND PROTEOME STRATIFICATION OF PROSTATE ADENOCARCINOMA PHENOTYPESP50CA097186 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI John Kyung Lee · 2002 to 2026
$58.1M
Statistical modeling to support population and translational cancer researchR50CA221836 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Roman Gulati · 2017 to 2026
$2.0M
NCI NIH HHS P50 CA097186NCI NIH HHS R50 CA221836
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOptimal utilization of novel therapies for advanced prostate cancer is challenging without a validated surrogate efficacy endpoint. Ongoing trials are using durable undetectable prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels as a marker of efficacy. The clinical relevance of prolonged undetectable PSA after a short course of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is uncertain.

methodsThe University of Washington Caisis database was queried for radical prostatectomy patients who received 6-12 months of ADT after biochemical recurrence (BCR), defined as PSA ≥0.2 ng/mL and no radiographically detectable metastasis. Proportions of men with undetectable PSA 12 and 24 months after ending ADT were compared to a hypothesized 5% rate using exact binomial tests. Associations with patient and tumor characteristics were examined using logistic regression, and associations with risk of subsequent metastasis and death were evaluated by log-rank tests.

resultsAfter ineligibility exclusions, 23/93 (25%; 95%CI 16-35%; P < 0.001) and 14/93 (15%; 95%CI 9-24%; P < 0.001) had undetectable PSA 12 and 24 months after ending ADT, respectively. Detectable PSA at 12 months was associated with increased risk of metastasis (P = 0.006), prostate cancer-specific death (P = 0.028), and death from any cause (P = 0.065). Being 1 year older at diagnosis was associated with a 14% (95%CI 5-24%; P = 0.006) decrease in the odds of having a detectable PSA after controlling for PSA at diagnosis, PSA doubling time, grade group, and time from initial therapy to BCR.

conclusionsThis single-institution retrospective analysis shows that it is not uncommon to have undetectable PSA 12 or 24 months after a short course of ADT. No baseline prognostic characteristic other than age was associated with a durable (12 month) undetectable PSA. Because a durable undetectable PSA was associated with lower risks of metastasis and prostate cancer-specific death, it may be a reasonable clinical trial endpoint.

Indexed as

endpointlandmarksurrogate

Identifiers

PMID29987912
PMCPMC6328347

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.