Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29979731›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Gravity and scaling laws of city to city migration.

Rafael Prieto Curiel, Luca Pappalardo, Lorenzo Gabrielli, Steven Richard Bishop

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Unsupervised embedding of trajectories captures the latent structure of scientific migration.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Scaling of the morphology of African cities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rafael Prieto CurielDepartment of Mathematics, University College London, Gower Street, WC1E 6BT, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0738-2633
Luca PappalardoIstituto di Scienza e Tecnologie dell'Informazione (ISTI), Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche (CNR) - Area della Ricerca di Pisa, Via G. Moruzzi, 1, 56127, Pisa, Italy.
Lorenzo GabrielliIstituto di Scienza e Tecnologie dell'Informazione (ISTI), Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche (CNR) - Area della Ricerca di Pisa, Via G. Moruzzi, 1, 56127, Pisa, Italy.
Steven Richard BishopDepartment of Mathematics, University College London, Gower Street, WC1E 6BT, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Models of human migration provide powerful tools to forecast the flow of migrants, measure the impact of a policy, determine the cost of physical and political frictions and more. Here, we analyse the migration of individuals from and to cities in the US, finding that city to city migration follows scaling laws, so that the city size is a significant factor in determining whether, or not, an individual decides to migrate and the city size of both the origin and destination play key roles in the selection of the destination. We observe that individuals from small cities tend to migrate more frequently, tending to move to similar-sized cities, whereas individuals from large cities do not migrate so often, but when they do, they tend to move to other large cities. Building upon these findings we develop a scaling model which describes internal migration as a two-step decision process, demonstrating that it can partially explain migration fluxes based solely on city size. We then consider the impact of distance and construct a gravity-scaling model by combining the observed scaling patterns with the gravity law of migration. Results show that the scaling laws are a significant feature of human migration and that the inclusion of scaling can overcome the limits of the gravity and the radiation models of human migration.

Indexed as

Population DensityCitiesGeographyHuman MigrationHumansPopulation DynamicsSocioeconomic FactorsTransients and MigrantsUrban Population

Identifiers

PMID29979731
PMCPMC6034813

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.