Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29975406›Full record

ArticleCancer2018

Statistical justification of expansion cohorts in phase 1 cancer trials.

Ali A Mokdad, Xian-Jin Xie, Hong Zhu, David E Gerber, Daniel F Heitjan

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04525859 (Direct Injection of Poly-ICLC), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04525859 phase1completednot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Direct Injection of Poly-ICLC (Hiltonol®) Vaccine In Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma

TypeinterventionalSponsorOncovir, Inc.Ran2020 to 2025Enrolled19ConditionsMalignant Pleural MesotheliomaArmsSafety, Expansion Cohort
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. A Road Map for Designing Phase I Clinical Trials of Radiotherapy-Novel Agent Combinations.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2022
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Flexible, rule-based dose escalation: The cohort-sequence design.Contemporary clinical trials communications · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ali A MokdadDepartment of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.ORCID 0000-0002-2551-2104
Xian-Jin XieCollege of Dentistry and College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
Hong ZhuHarold C. Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas.
David E GerberHarold C. Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas.
Daniel F HeitjanDepartment of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas.

Funding

UT Southwestern Medical Center Simmons Comprehensive Cancer CenterP30CA142543 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI Sandi Leigh Pruitt · 2010 to 2026
$53.7M
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS CTSA FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024982 · NCRR · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI TOTO, ROBERT DANIEL · 2007 to 2011
$27.9M
UT Southwestern Center for Translational Medicine (UL1/KL2/TL1)UL1TR001105 · NCATS · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI TOTO, ROBERT DANIEL · 2013 to 2017
$24.5M
Development of New Cancer Treatments and InvestigatorsK24CA201543 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI GERBER, DAVID ERIC · 2016 to 2020
$737k
Statistical methods in smoking cessation researchR01CA116723 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI HEITJAN, DANIEL FRANCIS · 2007 to 2009
$711k
UT Southwestern Center for Translational Medicine (UL18Kl2/TL1)TL1TR001104 · NCATS · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI TOTO, ROBERT DANIEL · 2013 to 2017
$418k
NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR001104NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001105NCI NIH HHS K24 CA201543NCI NIH HHS P30 CA142543NCI NIH HHS R01 CA116723NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024982
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPhase I cancer trials increasingly incorporate dose-expansion cohorts (DECs), reflecting a growing demand to acquire more information about investigational drugs. Protocols commonly fail to provide a sample-size justification or analysis plan for the DEC. In this study, we develop a statistical framework for the design of DECs.

methodsWe assume the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) for the investigational drug has been identified in the dose-escalation stage of the trial. We use the 80% lower confidence bound and the 90% upper confidence bound for the response and toxicity rates, respectively, as decision thresholds for the dose-expansion stage. We calculate the operating characteristics with reference to prespecified minimum effective response rates and maximum safe DLT rates.

resultsWe apply our framework to specify a system of DEC plans. The design comprises three components: 1) the number of subjects enrolled at the MTD, 2) the minimum number of responses necessary to indicate provisional drug efficacy, and 3) the maximum number of dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs) permitted to indicate drug safety. We demonstrate our method in an application to a cancer immunotherapy trial.

conclusionsOur simple and practical tool enables creation of DEC designs that appropriately address the safety and efficacy objectives of the trial.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase I as TopicDose-Response Relationship, DrugHumansMaximum Tolerated DoseModels, StatisticalNeoplasmsResearch DesignSample Sizedesigndose expansiondose-findingefficacysafety

Identifiers

PMID29975406
PMCPMC6108930

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.