ArticleJournal of autism and developmental disorders2018
California Autism Prevalence Trends from 1931 to 2014 and Comparison to National ASD Data from IDEA and ADDM.
Article in Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
30 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 69 citations in OpenAlex.
- Neonatal jaundice and autism spectrum disorder: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Pediatric research · 2021Pooled it
- Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorder and Co-morbidities in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Literature Review.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2021Pooled it
- Efficacy and moderating factors of the Early Start Denver Model in Chinese toddlers with autism spectrum disorder: a longitudinal study.World journal of pediatrics : WJP · 2023Trial
- Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorder Among Children and Adolescents in the United States from 2021 to 2022.Journal of autism and developmental disorders · 2026Article
- Prenatal exposure to wildfire-related PMEnvironment international · 2026Article
- Accelerating autism prevalence in California with changepoint in the mid-2010s and divergence by county and socioeconomic indicators.SAGE open medicine · 2026Article
- The Neuroimmunology of Autism.Molecular neurobiology · 2025Review
- Psychometric properties of the Greek-language Opinions Relative to Inclusion of Students with Autism Spectrum Disorder scale (ORI-ASD) and Teachers' Sense of Efficacy Scale - Autism Spectrum Disorder (TSES-ASD).BJPsych international · 2025Article
- Central Causation of Autism/ASDs via Excessive [CaBrain sciences · 2024Review
- Acetaminophen causes neurodevelopmental injury in susceptible babies and children: no valid rationale for controversy.Clinical and experimental pediatrics · 2024Article
- The Dangers of Acetaminophen for Neurodevelopment Outweigh Scant Evidence for Long-Term Benefits.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Review
- Daily Early-Life Exposures to Diet Soda and Aspartame Are Associated with Autism in Males: A Case-Control Study.Nutrients · 2023Article
- Who Is Attending? The Role of Child Ethnicity and Maternal Demographics in Research Engagement and Early Identification of Autism.Brain sciences · 2023Article
- Impact of converging sociocultural and substance-related trends on US autism rates: combined geospatiotemporal and causal inferential analysis.European archives of psychiatry and clinical neuroscience · 2023Article
- Perturbation of 3D nuclear architecture, epigenomic aging and dysregulation, and cannabinoid synaptopathy reconfigures conceptualization of cannabinoid pathophysiology: part 2-Metabolome, immunome, synaptome.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2023Review
- Elective Deliveries and the Risk of Autism.American journal of preventive medicine · 2022Article
- Autism Tsunami: the Impact of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Cost of Autism in the United States.Journal of autism and developmental disorders · 2022Article
- Virtual Reality Technology as an Educational and Intervention Tool for Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder: Current Perspectives and Future Directions.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Review
- Discrete Wavelet Transform Analysis of the Electroretinogram in Autism Spectrum Disorder and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder.Frontiers in neuroscience · 2022Article
- Fecal Supernatant from Adult with Autism Spectrum Disorder Alters Digestive Functions, Intestinal Epithelial Barrier, and Enteric Nervous System.Microorganisms · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Time trends in U.S. autism prevalence from three ongoing datasets [Individuals with Disabilities Education Act, Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, and California Department of Developmental Services (CDDS)] are calculated using two different methods: (1) constant-age tracking of 8 year-olds and (2) age-resolved snapshots. The data are consistent across methods in showing a strong upward trend over time. The prevalence of autism in the CDDS dataset, the longest of the three data records, increased from 0.001% in the cohort born in 1931 to 1.2% among 5 year-olds born in 2012. This increase began around ~ 1940 at a rate that has gradually accelerated over time, including notable change points around birth years 1980, 1990 and, most recently, 2007.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.