Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29972108›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2018

Estimating the burden on general practitioner services in England from increases in respiratory disease associated with seasonal respiratory pathogen activity.

R A Morbey, A J Elliot, S Harcourt, S Smith, S de Lusignan, R Pebody, A Yeates, M Zambon, G E Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Evaluating multi-purpose syndromic surveillance systems - a complex problem.Online journal of public health informatics · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

R A MorbeyNational Infection Service,Public Health England,Birmingham, B3 2PW,UK.
A J ElliotNational Infection Service,Public Health England,Birmingham, B3 2PW,UK.
S HarcourtNational Infection Service,Public Health England,Birmingham, B3 2PW,UK.
S SmithNational Infection Service,Public Health England,Birmingham, B3 2PW,UK.
S de LusignanDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Medicine,University of Surrey,Guildford,UK.
R PebodyNational Infection Service,Public Health England,Birmingham, B3 2PW,UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9069-2885
A YeatesAdvanced, 210 Eureka Park, Ashford, TN25 4AZ,UK.
M ZambonReference Microbiology Centre, Public Health England,London, NW9 5EQ,UK.
G E SmithNational Infection Service,Public Health England,Birmingham, B3 2PW,UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the burden of respiratory pathogens on health care is key to improving public health emergency response and interventions. In temperate regions, there is a large seasonal rise in influenza and other respiratory pathogens. We have examined the associations between individual pathogens and reported respiratory tract infections to estimate attributable burden. We used multiple linear regression to model the relationship between doctor consultation data and laboratory samples from week 3 2011 until week 37 2015. We fitted separate models for consultation data with in-hours and out-of-hours doctor services, stratified by different age bands. The best fitting all ages models (R2 > 80%) for consultation data resulted in the greatest burden being associated with influenza followed by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). For models of adult age bands, there were significant associations between consultation data and invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae. There were also smaller numbers of consultations significantly associated with rhinovirus, parainfluenza, and human metapneumovirus. We estimate that a general practice with 10 000 patients would have seen an additional 18 respiratory tract infection consultations per winter week of which six had influenza and four had RSV. Our results are important for the planning of health care services to minimise the impact of winter pressures. •Respiratory pathogen incidence explains over 80% of seasonal variation in respiratory consultation data.•Influenza and RSV are associated with the biggest seasonal rises in respiratory consultation counts.•A third of consultation counts associated with respiratory pathogens were due to influenza.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolCost of IllnessEnglandGeneral PracticeHumansIncidenceInfantInfluenza, HumanLinear ModelsMiddle AgedRespiratory Syncytial Virus Infections

Identifiers

PMID29972108
PMCPMC9133673

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.