Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29969156›Full record

ReviewAlcoholism, clinical and experimental research2018

Overcoming the "Valley of Death" in Medications Development for Alcohol Use Disorder.

Lara A Ray, Spencer Bujarski, Daniel James Olan Roche, Molly Magill

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Alcoholism, clinical and experimental research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. The neural and psychophysiological effects of cannabidiol in youth with alcohol use disorder: A randomized controlled clinical trial.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2025
    Trial
  4. N-acetylcysteine for youth cannabis use disorder: randomized controlled trial main findings.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2025
    Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Review
  11. High hopes, hard realities: cannabidiol shows no acute effects in youth with alcohol use disorder.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Do behavioral pharmacology findings predict clinical trial outcomes? A proof-of-concept in medication development for alcohol use disorder.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lara A RayDepartment of Psychology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California.ORCID 0000-0002-5734-9444
Spencer BujarskiDepartment of Psychology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California.
Daniel James Olan RocheDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-6298-1519
Molly MagillCenter for Alcohol and Addiction Studies, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.

Funding

Combining Varenicline and Naltrexone for Smoking Cessation in Heavy DrinkersR01DA041226 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI RAY, LARA A. · 2015 to 2017
$2.1M
Clinical Neuroscience of Alcoholism: Integrating Neuroscience and Clinical TrialsK24AA025704 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI LARA A. RAY · 2018 to 2026
$1.3M
Intervention Ingredients and Mechanisms of an Efficacious Motivational InterviewR01AA023194 · NIAAA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI MAGILL, MOLLY · 2014 to 2016
$957k
Development of minocycline as a neuroimmune therapy for alcohol use disorderK01AA026005 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI ROCHE, DANIEL · 2017 to 2021
$925k
A Meta-Analysis of CBT/RP Efficacy, Moderated Efficacy, and MediationR21AA026006 · NIAAA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI MAGILL, MOLLY · 2017 to 2018
$457k
Modeling alcohol reward and reinforcement in the human laboratoryR21AA022752 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI RAY, LARA A. · 2014 to 2015
$399k
Development of Ibudilast as a Novel Treatment for AlcoholismR21AA022214 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI RAY, LARA A. · 2013 to 2014
$399k
Perceived alcohol reward value and risk: Neural correlates and treatment effectsR21AA023669 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI KARNO, MITCHELL P, RAY, LARA A. · 2015 to 2016
$344k
NIAAA NIH HHS K01 AA026005NIAAA NIH HHS K24 AA025704NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA023194NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA022214NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA022752NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA023669NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA026006NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA041226
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the development of novel pharmacotherapies for alcohol use disorder (AUD) has been slow, the discovery and testing of more efficacious pharmacotherapies for AUD represent a high priority research area. In fact, the transition from preclinical to clinical testing of novel compounds has been termed the "valley of death" in medications development. One key obstacle consists of the lack of an articulated set of goals for each stage of medications development. Specifically, the knowledge outputs required to make the transition from safety testing, to early efficacy detection, to confirming clinical efficacy remain unclear, and this is despite a great deal of interest and substantial financial investment in developing novel therapeutics for AUD. This qualitative critical review seeks to draw parallels and lessons from the well-established stage model for behavioral therapies research with alcohol and other substance use disorders and to apply these insights into AUD pharmacotherapy development. We argue that human laboratory models and/or pilot randomized controlled trials should serve as intermediaries in the transition from preclinical studies to large, and costly, randomized controlled efficacy trials. The relative strengths and weaknesses of pilot clinical trials versus human laboratory studies for bridging the "valley of death" are discussed and explored via a Monte Carlo data simulation study. Multiple permutations of suitable research designs informed by the behavioral therapies development model are discussed with the overall goal of promoting consilience and maximizing efficiency across all phases of clinical testing of novel AUD pharmacotherapies.

Indexed as

Alcohol DeterrentsAlcoholismAnimalsDrug DevelopmentDrug Evaluation, PreclinicalHumansPilot ProjectsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicAlcohol DeterrentsAlcohol Use DisorderBehavioral Therapies ResearchMedications DevelopmentPharmacotherapyTreatment

Identifiers

PMID29969156
PMCPMC6146966

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.